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Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar

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Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar

Centro Democrático (CD) 86.9%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 10.0%

Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH) <1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador) <1%

Polymarket

$88,907 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD) 86.9%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 10.0%

Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH) <1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador) <1%

Polymarket

$88,907 Vol.

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Centro Democrático (CD)

$8,824 Vol.

87%

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Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$24,169 Vol.

7%

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Pacto Histórico pela Colômbia (PH)

$55,913 Vol.

<1%

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Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Cambio Radical (CR)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Aliança Verde (AV)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Partido de la U (La U)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Coligação MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).With scrutiny of the March 8, 2026, legislative elections now covering 30 of 32 departments but delayed in Bogotá's 18-seat district and the international curul, Historic Pact for Colombia holds a clear lead at around 31 certified seats, cementing first place in the Chamber of Representatives. Trader consensus prices Centro Democrático (CD) at 87% for second due to its superior national vote share of 13.5% versus Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 11.1%, plus CD's confirmed win of the overseas seat and strength in pending tallies; PLC trails at 6.7% despite tying CD at 22 provisional seats. Conservative Party and others lag far behind amid fragmentation and low turnout, with final Registraduría certification expected to resolve the market soon.

With scrutiny of the March 8, 2026, legislative elections now covering 30 of 32 departments but delayed in Bogotá's 18-seat district and the international curul, Historic Pact for Colombia holds a clear lead at around 31 certified seats, cementing first place in the Chamber of Representatives. Trader consensus prices Centro Democrático (CD) at 87% for second due to its superior national vote share of 13.5% versus Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 11.1%, plus CD's confirmed win of the overseas seat and strength in pending tallies; PLC trails at 6.7% despite tying CD at 22 provisional seats. Conservative Party and others lag far behind amid fragmentation and low turnout, with final Registraduría certification expected to resolve the market soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).With scrutiny of the March 8, 2026, legislative elections now covering 30 of 32 departments but delayed in Bogotá's 18-seat district and the international curul, Historic Pact for Colombia holds a clear lead at around 31 certified seats, cementing first place in the Chamber of Representatives. Trader consensus prices Centro Democrático (CD) at 87% for second due to its superior national vote share of 13.5% versus Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 11.1%, plus CD's confirmed win of the overseas seat and strength in pending tallies; PLC trails at 6.7% despite tying CD at 22 provisional seats. Conservative Party and others lag far behind amid fragmentation and low turnout, with final Registraduría certification expected to resolve the market soon.

With scrutiny of the March 8, 2026, legislative elections now covering 30 of 32 departments but delayed in Bogotá's 18-seat district and the international curul, Historic Pact for Colombia holds a clear lead at around 31 certified seats, cementing first place in the Chamber of Representatives. Trader consensus prices Centro Democrático (CD) at 87% for second due to its superior national vote share of 13.5% versus Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 11.1%, plus CD's confirmed win of the overseas seat and strength in pending tallies; PLC trails at 6.7% despite tying CD at 22 provisional seats. Conservative Party and others lag far behind amid fragmentation and low turnout, with final Registraduría certification expected to resolve the market soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 87%, followed by "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" has generated $88.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" is "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição da Câmara dos Representantes da Colômbia: Segundo Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.