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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)

Juan Roberth Flores 11.1%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 8.9%

Ruth Alina Peralta 3.3%

Jhon Ariel Rioja 1.8%

Polymarket

$7,747 Vol.

Juan Roberth Flores 11.1%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez 8.9%

Ruth Alina Peralta 3.3%

Jhon Ariel Rioja 1.8%

Polymarket

$7,747 Vol.

Juan Roberth Flores

$0 Vol.

6%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez

$7,021 Vol.

21%

Ruth Alina Peralta

$726 Vol.

3%

Jhon Ariel Rioja

$0 Vol.

2%

Esther Soria Gonzales

$0 Vol.

2%

Remigio Ancalle

$0 Vol.

1%

Wilfredo Rolando Morales

$0 Vol.

6%

Alejandro Mostajo Rueda

$0 Vol.

1%

Mario Enrique Severich

$0 Vol.

28%

The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus in the Cochabamba governor election reflects a tight plurality race, with Mario Enrique Severich of Creemos leading at 28.2% implied probability ahead of Sergio Oliver Rodríguez of MAS at 20.8%, as fragmented fields split anti-incumbent votes among Morales, Flores, and others. Recent developments include a late October poll showing Severich's urban support softening due to MAS rural mobilization and Oliver's endorsements from local unions, narrowing the gap amid Bolivia's economic strains like fuel shortages impacting the department. The single-round, first-past-the-post system amplifies coalition dynamics, with no major party unity. Final debates and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground municipalities could tip the balance before election day.

The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$7,747
Data de Término
Mar 22, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus in the Cochabamba governor election reflects a tight plurality race, with Mario Enrique Severich of Creemos leading at 28.2% implied probability ahead of Sergio Oliver Rodríguez of MAS at 20.8%, as fragmented fields split anti-incumbent votes among Morales, Flores, and others. Recent developments include a late October poll showing Severich's urban support softening due to MAS rural mobilization and Oliver's endorsements from local unions, narrowing the gap amid Bolivia's economic strains like fuel shortages impacting the department. The single-round, first-past-the-post system amplifies coalition dynamics, with no major party unity. Final debates and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground municipalities could tip the balance before election day.

Trader consensus in the Cochabamba governor election reflects a tight plurality race, with Mario Enrique Severich of Creemos leading at 28.2% implied probability ahead of Sergio Oliver Rodríguez of MAS at 20.8%, as fragmented fields split anti-incumbent votes among Morales, Flores, and others. Recent developments include a late October poll showing Severich's urban support softening due to MAS rural mobilization and Oliver's endorsements from local unions, narrowing the gap amid Bolivia's economic strains like fuel shortages impacting the department. The single-round, first-past-the-post system amplifies coalition dynamics, with no major party unity. Final debates and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground municipalities could tip the balance before election day.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mario Enrique Severich" at 28%, followed by "Sergio Oliver Rodríguez" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)" is "Mario Enrique Severich" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sergio Oliver Rodríguez" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cochabamba (Bolívia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.