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Economia·Política Económica

Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?

Market icon
Economia·Política Económica

Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?

abr 30

jun 30

abr 30

jun 30

Aumento 79%

Sem mudança 22%

Redução 1.7%

Polymarket

$47,365 Vol.

Aumento 79%

Sem mudança 22%

Redução 1.7%

Polymarket

$47,365 Vol.

Redução

$28,802 Vol.

2%

Sem mudança

$7,488 Vol.

22%

Aumento

$11,075 Vol.

79%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 79% implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures after March 2026 CPI accelerated to 5.56% year-over-year—above forecasts of 5.47% and up from February's 5.29%, the highest in 18 months. Core inflation also rose, alongside wage hikes and energy risks, prompting the bank's aggressive tightening with back-to-back 100 basis point hikes to the current 11.25% policy rate in January and March despite government criticism and a board rift. No-change odds at 18.5% capture potential pause debates, while cuts at 1.9% appear improbable amid upside inflation risks; watch April's Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$47,365
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 79% implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures after March 2026 CPI accelerated to 5.56% year-over-year—above forecasts of 5.47% and up from February's 5.29%, the highest in 18 months. Core inflation also rose, alongside wage hikes and energy risks, prompting the bank's aggressive tightening with back-to-back 100 basis point hikes to the current 11.25% policy rate in January and March despite government criticism and a board rift. No-change odds at 18.5% capture potential pause debates, while cuts at 1.9% appear improbable amid upside inflation risks; watch April's Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$47,365
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aumento" at 79%, followed by "Sem mudança" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?" has generated $47.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?" is "Aumento" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sem mudança" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco Central da Colômbia em abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.