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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Tommy Tuberville

$0 Vol.

93%

Ken McFeeters

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville commands 93% implied probability in the Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting his overwhelming name recognition as a former Auburn coach and Trump-aligned incumbent, bolstered by early polling leads like Quantus Insights' 63% support. Challenger Ken McFeeters holds 5.9% amid trader consensus on Tuberville's fundraising edge and deep-red state dynamics favoring high-profile incumbents. A fresh lawsuit filed March 24 by McFeeters alleges Tuberville fails Alabama's seven-year residency requirement for governor, claiming Florida ties, though prior GOP challenges were dismissed in February. Upsets could arise from successful disqualification, a damaging scandal, or voter turnout shifts in the open primary, but structural advantages keep odds firm.

U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville commands 93% implied probability in the Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting his overwhelming name recognition as a former Auburn coach and Trump-aligned incumbent, bolstered by early polling leads like Quantus Insights' 63% support. Challenger Ken McFeeters holds 5.9% amid trader consensus on Tuberville's fundraising edge and deep-red state dynamics favoring high-profile incumbents. A fresh lawsuit filed March 24 by McFeeters alleges Tuberville fails Alabama's seven-year residency requirement for governor, claiming Florida ties, though prior GOP challenges were dismissed in February. Upsets could arise from successful disqualification, a damaging scandal, or voter turnout shifts in the open primary, but structural advantages keep odds firm.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville commands 93% implied probability in the Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting his overwhelming name recognition as a former Auburn coach and Trump-aligned incumbent, bolstered by early polling leads like Quantus Insights' 63% support. Challenger Ken McFeeters holds 5.9% amid trader consensus on Tuberville's fundraising edge and deep-red state dynamics favoring high-profile incumbents. A fresh lawsuit filed March 24 by McFeeters alleges Tuberville fails Alabama's seven-year residency requirement for governor, claiming Florida ties, though prior GOP challenges were dismissed in February. Upsets could arise from successful disqualification, a damaging scandal, or voter turnout shifts in the open primary, but structural advantages keep odds firm.

U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville commands 93% implied probability in the Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting his overwhelming name recognition as a former Auburn coach and Trump-aligned incumbent, bolstered by early polling leads like Quantus Insights' 63% support. Challenger Ken McFeeters holds 5.9% amid trader consensus on Tuberville's fundraising edge and deep-red state dynamics favoring high-profile incumbents. A fresh lawsuit filed March 24 by McFeeters alleges Tuberville fails Alabama's seven-year residency requirement for governor, claiming Florida ties, though prior GOP challenges were dismissed in February. Upsets could arise from successful disqualification, a damaging scandal, or voter turnout shifts in the open primary, but structural advantages keep odds firm.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tommy Tuberville" at 93%, followed by "Ken McFeeters" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama" is "Tommy Tuberville" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken McFeeters" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Alabama" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.