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Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

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Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

Chong Won-oh 79%

Oh Se-hoon 13%

Park Ju-min 6.5%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$7,399,856 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 79%

Oh Se-hoon 13%

Park Ju-min 6.5%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$7,399,856 Vol.

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Chong Won-oh

$285,572 Vol.

79%

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Oh Se-hoon

$550,157 Vol.

13%

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Park Ju-min

$352,691 Vol.

7%

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Jeon Hyun-heui

$697,995 Vol.

<1%

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Ahn Cheol-soo

$497,913 Vol.

<1%

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Na Kyung-won

$668,321 Vol.

<1%

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Han Dong-hoon

$646,379 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Eun-hee

$760,737 Vol.

<1%

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Park Yong-jin

$770,186 Vol.

<1%

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Hong Ihk-pyo

$597,133 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Kuk

$320,700 Vol.

<1%

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Kang Hoon-sik

$327,607 Vol.

<1%

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Park Hong-keun

$428,688 Vol.

<1%

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Seo Young-kyo

$496,634 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding 79% implied probability stems from his advancement alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui in the Democratic Party's preliminary primary for Seoul mayor on March 24, positioning him as the frontrunner ahead of the main primary. As Seongdong District mayor, his momentum reflects trader consensus on the party's strength in Seoul amid recent polls showing him leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon in head-to-head matchups. Oh Se-hoon holds 13% despite dropping an initial re-election bid in early March due to People Power Party infighting and extended nomination deadlines, with Park Ju-min at 6.5% as a viable Democratic alternative. Markets await main primaries and the June 3 local elections, where coalition dynamics and turnout could shift odds.

Chong Won-oh's commanding 79% implied probability stems from his advancement alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui in the Democratic Party's preliminary primary for Seoul mayor on March 24, positioning him as the frontrunner ahead of the main primary. As Seongdong District mayor, his momentum reflects trader consensus on the party's strength in Seoul amid recent polls showing him leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon in head-to-head matchups. Oh Se-hoon holds 13% despite dropping an initial re-election bid in early March due to People Power Party infighting and extended nomination deadlines, with Park Ju-min at 6.5% as a viable Democratic alternative. Markets await main primaries and the June 3 local elections, where coalition dynamics and turnout could shift odds.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding 79% implied probability stems from his advancement alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui in the Democratic Party's preliminary primary for Seoul mayor on March 24, positioning him as the frontrunner ahead of the main primary. As Seongdong District mayor, his momentum reflects trader consensus on the party's strength in Seoul amid recent polls showing him leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon in head-to-head matchups. Oh Se-hoon holds 13% despite dropping an initial re-election bid in early March due to People Power Party infighting and extended nomination deadlines, with Park Ju-min at 6.5% as a viable Democratic alternative. Markets await main primaries and the June 3 local elections, where coalition dynamics and turnout could shift odds.

Chong Won-oh's commanding 79% implied probability stems from his advancement alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui in the Democratic Party's preliminary primary for Seoul mayor on March 24, positioning him as the frontrunner ahead of the main primary. As Seongdong District mayor, his momentum reflects trader consensus on the party's strength in Seoul amid recent polls showing him leading incumbent Oh Se-hoon in head-to-head matchups. Oh Se-hoon holds 13% despite dropping an initial re-election bid in early March due to People Power Party infighting and extended nomination deadlines, with Park Ju-min at 6.5% as a viable Democratic alternative. Markets await main primaries and the June 3 local elections, where coalition dynamics and turnout could shift odds.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chong Won-oh" at 79%, followed by "Oh Se-hoon" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" has generated $7.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is "Chong Won-oh" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oh Se-hoon" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.