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Pardon predictions & odds

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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

2%

$171K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

53%

Stefan Brodie

$217K Vol.

$130K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

81%

Hong Wang

$518K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

10%

$287K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

69%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

74%

June 30

$27.3K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

$6.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

3

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

72%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.2K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

13%

$36.3K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

42%

$235 Vol.

$167 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

7%

$208K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

35

Ends in 8 months

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

2%

$42.8K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 22 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

57%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$4.1K Vol.

$417 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

18%

$7.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Ben Pasternak jailed?

Ben Pasternak jailed?

13%

$49.4K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

18%

Dong Jun

$154K Vol.

$114K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

19%

$28.0K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pardon.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Pardon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pardon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.