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News predictions & odds

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Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?

50%

$0 Vol.

$57 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$80.2K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$58M Liq.

723

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$573M Vol.

$2M today

$28M Liq.

900

Ends in over 2 years

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

99%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M Vol.

$126K today

$717K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

52%

Lee Jun-seok

$62.5K Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

3

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$12.6K Vol.

$58.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

19%

Matt Gaetz

$634K Vol.

$632K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

26%

James Talarico

$12.5K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

69%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

72%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

99%

Beijing

$6.9K Vol.

$500 Liq.

7

Ends in 1 day

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

17%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

10

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

63%

↓ $2.60

$104K Vol.

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

44

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

44%

60-79

$4.3K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

32%

100-119

$1.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

42%

May 11

$0 Vol.

$697 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

100%

100-119

$69.9K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.2K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like News.

Polymarket currently hosts 222 active markets for News that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on News predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.