Skip to main content

Lula predictions & odds

·
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

84%

$9.5K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

42%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$69M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

6,192

Ends in 5 months

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

99%

Xi Jinping

$274K Vol.

$66.3K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

99%

Xi Jinping

$450K Vol.

$177K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Xi Jinping

$410K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

40%

Petro - Colombia President

$42.5K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

68%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$289K Liq.

34

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

35%

Romeu Zema

$273K Vol.

$140K Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

87%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$309K Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

104

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

42%

Lula da Silva <5%

$230K Vol.

$69.5K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)

56%

Yi Sak Lee

$200 Vol.

$296 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

52%

1.9%–2.2%

$20.6K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

16%

$66.6K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

84%

Decrease

$106K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

82%

↑ $224

$180K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

84%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$315K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

95%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$19.3K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

SC-02 House Election Winner

SC-02 House Election Winner

80%

Republican Party

$27.9K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

54%

Anthropic

$85.3K Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lula.

Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Lula that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $80.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lula predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.