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Hiring predictions & odds

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May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

38%

4.3%

$508 Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$389K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

10

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

3%

$72.4K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 year

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

15%

$20.7K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

84%

Up

$25.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$619 Vol.

$103 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

31%

Keith Sonderling

$44.8K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

87%

$170 billion

$689 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$671K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K Vol.

$27.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

94%

$1.50B

$4.2K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hiring.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Hiring that lets you track or trade on predictions like “May Unemployment Rate”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hiring predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.