Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

18%

December 31

$24M Vol.

$306K today

$1M Liq.

832

Ends in 9 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

60%

December 31

$176K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

15

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

13%

$29.1K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

59%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

23%

April 30

$53.8K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

18

Ends in 25 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

19%

$140K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$586K today

$2M Liq.

365

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$440K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

27

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

33%

↓ 0.20

$65.4K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

42%

$277K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

7%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

38

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

2%

8+

$39 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$38.3K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

7%

$6.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

63%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$17.1K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

37%

$447K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$102K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

99%

4th or lower

$294K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

50%

3rd hottest

$4.8K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$679K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Extraterrestrial Life.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Extraterrestrial Life that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Extraterrestrial Life predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.