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Executive Order predictions & odds

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Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

39%

May 18

$41.8K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

90%

$122K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

10%

June 30

$166K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

27%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

72

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

29%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$100 Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$70 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

91%

December 31

$24.9K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

35%

$11.9K Vol.

$334 Liq.

6

Ends in 16 days

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

17%

$8.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

33%

180-199

$17.3K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

12%

$61.8K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

81%

NVIDIA

$80.0K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

10%

$10.7K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

50%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$295K today

$258K Liq.

463

Ends in about 2 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

100%

World Cup

$7.4K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

15%

$10M Vol.

$73.5K Liq.

268

Ends in 8 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

2%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Executive Order.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Executive Order that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump sign an executive order on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $33.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump declares election interference national emergency? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Executive Order predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.