Market icon

AfD % of vote in German Election?

20-25% 100.0%

<10% <1%

10-15% <1%

15-20% <1%

Polymarket

$39,200,825 Vol.

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Volume
$39,200,825
Einddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Aangemaakt op
Dec 18, 2024, 10:09 AM ET
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

Voorgesteld resultaat: No

Betwist

Voorgesteld resultaat: No

Geen geschil

Eindresultaat: No

Pas op voor externe links.

Market icon

AfD % of vote in German Election?

20-25% 100.0%

<10% <1%

10-15% <1%

15-20% <1%

Polymarket

$39,200,825 Vol.

<10%

$12,752,500 Vol.

No

10-15%

$4,653,655 Vol.

No

15-20%

$4,533,059 Vol.

No

20-25%

$5,686,465 Vol.

Yes

25-30%

$6,805,514 Vol.

No

>30%

$4,769,632 Vol.

No

Pas op voor externe links.