Fed decision in January?

Politics

Finance

Fed decision in January?

96%

No change

$421m Vol.

$13m today

$21m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 8 days

Portugal Presidential Election

Politics

Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

96%

António José Seguro (IND)

$120m Vol.

$5m today

$5m Liq.

1,507

Ends in 20 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Politics

Trump

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

62%

Kevin Warsh

$216m Vol.

$5m today

$6m Liq.

539

Ends in 12 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

35%

Gavin Newsom

$498m Vol.

$4m today

$26m Liq.

420

Ends in almost 3 years

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

42%

520-539

$19m Vol.

$4m today

$800k Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

Politics

Trump

What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

<1%

Career

$6m Vol.

$3m today

$1m Liq.

333

US strikes Iran by...?

Politics

Iran

US strikes Iran by...?

63%

June 30

$69m Vol.

$3m today

$419k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Politics

Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

27%

JD Vance

$199m Vol.

$2m today

$15m Liq.

569

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

52%

J.D. Vance

$195m Vol.

$2m today

$12m Liq.

223

Ends in almost 3 years

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Politics

Trump

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

20%

$16m Vol.

$2m today

$2m Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?

11%

520-539

$4m Vol.

$2m today

$625k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Politics

Trump

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

54%

Delcy Rodríguez

$8m Vol.

$1m today

$1m Liq.

123

Ends in 12 months

Elon Musk # tweets January 17 - January 19, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 17 - January 19, 2026?

100%

90-114

$3m Vol.

$1m today

$771k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Politics

Iran

US next strikes Iran on...?

75%

No strike by January 31

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$368k Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

15%

500-519

$7m Vol.

$1m today

$487k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

Politics

Geopolitics

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

93%

To Lam

$2m Vol.

$933k today

$86.2k Liq.

57

Ends in 5 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

2%

$17m Vol.

$772k today

$679k Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Politics

Gaza

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

51%

January 21

$3m Vol.

$455k today

$78.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Politics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

30%

$6m Vol.

$380k today

$312k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Gaza

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

23%

$12m Vol.

$272k today

$118k Liq.

Ends in 11 days