Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

62%

Kevin Warsh

$217m Vol.

$5m today

$6m Liq.

539

Ends in 12 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

14%

$9m Vol.

$143k today

$875k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

30%

$3m Vol.

$122k today

$73.7k Liq.

263

Ends in 12 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

56%

<$100b

$3m Vol.

$119k Liq.

298

Ends in about 1 month

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

29%

Pam Bondi

$1m Vol.

$128k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

87%

250-500k

$5m Vol.

$90.2k Liq.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

17%

December 31

$13m Vol.

$193k Liq.

1,188

Ends in 2 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

30%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$23.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

75%

April 30, 2026

$931k Vol.

$32.8k Liq.

32

Ends in 3 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

14%

$332k Vol.

$29.4k Liq.

21

Ends in 12 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

71%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$32.4k Liq.

162

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

62%

No meeting by June 30

$485k Vol.

$39.9k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

2%

$124k Vol.

$14.3k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

2%

$1m Vol.

$15.7k Liq.

40

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Trump Presidency

Politics

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

34%

June 30

$514k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

79%

Donald Trump

$63.0k Vol.

$71.7k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Russia

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

19%

December 31

$929k Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

32

Ends in 12 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

<1%

$156k Vol.

$6.3k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$525k Vol.

$24.9k Liq.

12

Ends in 12 months

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

2%

$405k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

24