Name: VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?
Start: 2026-01-03T14:27:13.7028Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

30 juni

31 januari

10 januari

VS-troepen in Venezuela

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. 

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Amerikaanse troepen in Venezuela door...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venezuela verkiezing gepland vóór 31 maart 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Zal de VS vóór 31 december 2026 Venezuela binnenvallen?

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Zal Charles Myers Venezuela bezoeken vóór 31 maart 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

31 januari
$487,588 Vol.
2%

30 juni
$23,751 Vol.
29%

Marktcontext

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Regels

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Marktcontext

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Over

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

31 januari$487,588 Vol.2%Kopen Ja2.3¢Kopen Nee97.9¢

30 juni$23,751 Vol.29%Kopen Ja31¢Kopen Nee74¢

Marktcontext

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Regels

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Marktcontext

VS-troepen betreden Venezuela weer via...?

Over

31 januari
$487,588 Vol.
2%

30 juni
$23,751 Vol.
29%