Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to Silver (SI) March 2025 futures settling below $75/oz, reflecting current front-month pricing around $30.60/oz amid a sharp weekly pullback of over 5%. Surging US Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.10%—and a stronger US dollar index near 103.50 have intensified headwinds for precious metals, offsetting steady industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. Robust September nonfarm payrolls data tempered Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, curbing safe-haven bids. Historical precedents show silver struggling to sustain above $30 without inflation spikes; upcoming October CPI release on November 13 could sway sentiment, but base-case dynamics favor subdued settlement levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Silver (SI) settle at in March?
What will Silver (SI) settle at in March?
<$75 84%
$75-$80 8.1%
$80-$85 3.1%
$85-$90 1.8%
$234,355 Vol.
$234,355 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<$75
84%
$75-$80
8%
$80-$85
3%
$85-$90
2%
$90-$95
1%
$95-$100
<1%
$100-$105
<1%
$105-$110
<1%
$110-$115
<1%
>$115
<1%
<$75 84%
$75-$80 8.1%
$80-$85 3.1%
$85-$90 1.8%
$234,355 Vol.
$234,355 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<$75
$19,377 Vol.
84%
$75-$80
$11,323 Vol.
8%
$80-$85
$10,199 Vol.
3%
$85-$90
$8,007 Vol.
2%
$90-$95
$19,003 Vol.
1%
$95-$100
$33,052 Vol.
<1%
$100-$105
$29,203 Vol.
<1%
$105-$110
$23,718 Vol.
<1%
$110-$115
$25,832 Vol.
<1%
>$115
$56,346 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to Silver (SI) March 2025 futures settling below $75/oz, reflecting current front-month pricing around $30.60/oz amid a sharp weekly pullback of over 5%. Surging US Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.10%—and a stronger US dollar index near 103.50 have intensified headwinds for precious metals, offsetting steady industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. Robust September nonfarm payrolls data tempered Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, curbing safe-haven bids. Historical precedents show silver struggling to sustain above $30 without inflation spikes; upcoming October CPI release on November 13 could sway sentiment, but base-case dynamics favor subdued settlement levels.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$234,355End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to Silver (SI) March 2025 futures settling below $75/oz, reflecting current front-month pricing around $30.60/oz amid a sharp weekly pullback of over 5%. Surging US Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.10%—and a stronger US dollar index near 103.50 have intensified headwinds for precious metals, offsetting steady industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. Robust September nonfarm payrolls data tempered Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, curbing safe-haven bids. Historical precedents show silver struggling to sustain above $30 without inflation spikes; upcoming October CPI release on November 13 could sway sentiment, but base-case dynamics favor subdued settlement levels.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of March 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Volume
$234,355End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to Silver (SI) March 2025 futures settling below $75/oz, reflecting current front-month pricing around $30.60/oz amid a sharp weekly pullback of over 5%. Surging US Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.10%—and a stronger US dollar index near 103.50 have intensified headwinds for precious metals, offsetting steady industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. Robust September nonfarm payrolls data tempered Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, curbing safe-haven bids. Historical precedents show silver struggling to sustain above $30 without inflation spikes; upcoming October CPI release on November 13 could sway sentiment, but base-case dynamics favor subdued settlement levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions