Market icon

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?

Market icon

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 27

NEW
Mar 27, 2026
Polymarket

$8,265 Vol.

Polymarket

$245

$355 Vol.

98%

$250

$533 Vol.

90%

$255

$185 Vol.

38%

$260

$482 Vol.

10%

$265

$6,710 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's share price hovers around $226 amid mixed sentiment following the iPhone 16 launch, with services revenue providing a buffer against decelerating hardware sales in China and elevated inventory levels. Q4 fiscal 2024 earnings exceeded analyst estimates on 4.9% year-over-year revenue growth to $94.9 billion, driven by record services at $25.0 billion, though gross margins contracted slightly to 46.4% due to product mix and forex impacts. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over U.S. DOJ antitrust scrutiny and EU Digital Markets Act compliance costs, potentially capping upside. Upcoming January 30, 2025, Q1 earnings and AI feature rollouts in iOS 18.4 represent pivotal catalysts that could propel shares toward or above key March 27 thresholds, with Nasdaq volatility and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% shaping tech sector rotations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$8,265
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's share price hovers around $226 amid mixed sentiment following the iPhone 16 launch, with services revenue providing a buffer against decelerating hardware sales in China and elevated inventory levels. Q4 fiscal 2024 earnings exceeded analyst estimates on 4.9% year-over-year revenue growth to $94.9 billion, driven by record services at $25.0 billion, though gross margins contracted slightly to 46.4% due to product mix and forex impacts. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over U.S. DOJ antitrust scrutiny and EU Digital Markets Act compliance costs, potentially capping upside. Upcoming January 30, 2025, Q1 earnings and AI feature rollouts in iOS 18.4 represent pivotal catalysts that could propel shares toward or above key March 27 thresholds, with Nasdaq volatility and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% shaping tech sector rotations.

Apple's share price hovers around $226 amid mixed sentiment following the iPhone 16 launch, with services revenue providing a buffer against decelerating hardware sales in China and elevated inventory levels. Q4 fiscal 2024 earnings exceeded analyst estimates on 4.9% year-over-year revenue growth to $94.9 billion, driven by record services at $25.0 billion, though gross margins contracted slightly to 46.4% due to product mix and forex impacts. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over U.S. DOJ antitrust scrutiny and EU Digital Markets Act compliance costs, potentially capping upside. Upcoming January 30, 2025, Q1 earnings and AI feature rollouts in iOS 18.4 represent pivotal catalysts that could propel shares toward or above key March 27 thresholds, with Nasdaq volatility and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% shaping tech sector rotations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$245" at 98%, followed by "$250" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?" is "$245" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$250" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.