What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
$320,821 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
EV tax credit cuts
$12,755 Vol.
Yes
EV tax credit cuts
$12,755 Vol.
Yes
End Tax on Tips
$40,108 Vol.
Yes
End Tax on Tips
$40,108 Vol.
Yes
Reduce tax on Social Security
$234,865 Vol.
No
Reduce tax on Social Security
$234,865 Vol.
No
Debt Ceiling lifted/abolished
$14,254 Vol.
Yes
Debt Ceiling lifted/abolished
$14,254 Vol.
Yes
Extension of income tax cut for High Earners
$7,193 Vol.
Yes
Extension of income tax cut for High Earners
$7,193 Vol.
Yes
SALT cap increase
$11,647 Vol.
Yes
SALT cap increase
$11,647 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly lifts or abolishes the debt ceiling in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.
This market will resolve based on the first reconciliation bill signed into law by Donald Trump during the market’s timeframe.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly lifts or abolishes the debt ceiling in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.
This market will resolve based on the first reconciliation bill signed into law by Donald Trump during the market’s timeframe.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.
This market will resolve based on the first reconciliation bill signed into law by Donald Trump during the market’s timeframe.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Created At: May 14, 2025, 12:33 PM ET
Volume
$320,821End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
May 14, 2025, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
$320,821 Vol.
EV tax credit cuts
$12,755 Vol.
Yes
End Tax on Tips
$40,108 Vol.
Yes
Reduce tax on Social Security
$234,865 Vol.
No
Debt Ceiling lifted/abolished
$14,254 Vol.
Yes
Extension of income tax cut for High Earners
$7,193 Vol.
Yes
SALT cap increase
$11,647 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$320,821End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
May 14, 2025, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
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