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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$320,821 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a reconciliation bill that explicitly lifts or abolishes the debt ceiling in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

This market will resolve based on the first reconciliation bill signed into law by Donald Trump during the market’s timeframe.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$320,821
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 14, 2025, 4:33 PM

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

$320,821 Vol.

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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

EV tax credit cuts

$12,755 Vol.

Yes

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End Tax on Tips

$40,108 Vol.

Yes

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Reduce tax on Social Security

$234,865 Vol.

No

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Debt Ceiling lifted/abolished

$14,254 Vol.

Yes

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Extension of income tax cut for High Earners

$7,193 Vol.

Yes

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SALT cap increase

$11,647 Vol.

Yes

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About

Volume
$320,821
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 14, 2025, 4:33 PM