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Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

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Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Doug Mason 7.7%

Clayton Johnson 5.2%

Shane Parton 2.1%

Richard Van De Water 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,249,721 Vol.

Doug Mason 7.7%

Clayton Johnson 5.2%

Shane Parton 2.1%

Richard Van De Water 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,249,721 Vol.

Doug Mason

$6,993 Vol.

8%

Clayton Johnson

$4,733 Vol.

12%

Shane Parton

$47,120 Vol.

2%

Richard Van De Water

$858,824 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$13,142 Vol.

1%

Marcus Richardson

$1,809 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$29,951 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$20,672 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$1,770 Vol.

1%

Christopher Wood

$1,819 Vol.

1%

Brandon Perce

$14,785 Vol.

1%

Casey Hux

$15,236 Vol.

1%

Aaron Kahng

$86,773 Vol.

1%

Mike Turitto

$3,482 Vol.

1%

Brad Ledford

$2,050 Vol.

1%

Lew Evans

$81,191 Vol.

1%

Trenten Merrill

$6,845 Vol.

1%

Kevin Montero

$1,816 Vol.

<1%

Rod Strozier

$2,142 Vol.

<1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$8,134 Vol.

<1%

Conrad Ukropina

$38,501 Vol.

<1%

Matt Carroll

$1,933 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader sentiment for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner remains fragmented following ABC's March 20 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul's fully filmed season amid resurfaced domestic violence footage, creating high uncertainty as the market awaits public airing by November 30 or resolution to "Other." Matt Carroll holds the frontrunner edge at 31% implied probability, buoyed by his strong early rose ceremonies, mature real estate broker persona, and post-cancellation social media engagement from fans drawn to his Purdue basketball background and Carmel, Indiana roots. Clayton Johnson trails at 14.5% on celebrity cachet as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, while Doug Mason—Reality Steve's reported final rose recipient—has plunged to 7% after their confirmed post-filming breakup and spoiler skepticism. Lower-tier contenders like Shane Parton differentiate via rumored late-stage survival, but the shelved finale leaves traders hedging on potential ABC reversal or leaks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$1,249,721
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader sentiment for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner remains fragmented following ABC's March 20 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul's fully filmed season amid resurfaced domestic violence footage, creating high uncertainty as the market awaits public airing by November 30 or resolution to "Other." Matt Carroll holds the frontrunner edge at 31% implied probability, buoyed by his strong early rose ceremonies, mature real estate broker persona, and post-cancellation social media engagement from fans drawn to his Purdue basketball background and Carmel, Indiana roots. Clayton Johnson trails at 14.5% on celebrity cachet as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, while Doug Mason—Reality Steve's reported final rose recipient—has plunged to 7% after their confirmed post-filming breakup and spoiler skepticism. Lower-tier contenders like Shane Parton differentiate via rumored late-stage survival, but the shelved finale leaves traders hedging on potential ABC reversal or leaks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$1,249,721
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Carroll" at 31%, followed by "Clayton Johnson" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is "Matt Carroll" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clayton Johnson" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.