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3rd largest company end of April?

Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

Apr 30

Apr 30

Alphabet 77%

Apple 22%

NVIDIA 1.1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$740,236 Vol.

Alphabet 77%

Apple 22%

NVIDIA 1.1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$740,236 Vol.

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Alphabet

$12,959 Vol.

77%

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Apple

$25,238 Vol.

22%

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NVIDIA

$616,144 Vol.

1%

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Microsoft

$8,555 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Aramco

$33,819 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$5,870 Vol.

<1%

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Oracle

$28,189 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$9,465 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability for Alphabet to hold the third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.56 trillion valuation—positioned firmly behind Nvidia ($4.31 trillion) and Apple ($3.76 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.78 trillion) by over $780 billion. Recent year-to-date declines have favored Alphabet relatively, down just 3.9% versus Apple's 8.8%, Nvidia's 5.8%, and Microsoft's 20%+ drop amid AI infrastructure spending concerns and tech sector rotation out of laggards. Apple's 22% stake reflects trader bets on Alphabet closing the $199 billion gap through sustained ad revenue and cloud momentum, while lower odds for Nvidia or others signal wide buffers against upward surges from below. Resolution hinges on late-month trading volume and macro sentiment ahead of Q2 earnings.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$740,236
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability for Alphabet to hold the third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.56 trillion valuation—positioned firmly behind Nvidia ($4.31 trillion) and Apple ($3.76 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.78 trillion) by over $780 billion. Recent year-to-date declines have favored Alphabet relatively, down just 3.9% versus Apple's 8.8%, Nvidia's 5.8%, and Microsoft's 20%+ drop amid AI infrastructure spending concerns and tech sector rotation out of laggards. Apple's 22% stake reflects trader bets on Alphabet closing the $199 billion gap through sustained ad revenue and cloud momentum, while lower odds for Nvidia or others signal wide buffers against upward surges from below. Resolution hinges on late-month trading volume and macro sentiment ahead of Q2 earnings.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$740,236
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 77%, followed by "Apple" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of April?" has generated $740.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.