Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,662,086 Vol

António José Seguro (IND)
$197,102 Vol.
89%

André Ventura (CH)
$370,417 Vol.
76%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$488,588 Vol.
27%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$387,021 Vol.
2%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$121,735 Vol.
2%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$335 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$1,030 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$2,098 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$907 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,768 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$8,799 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$2,987 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,400 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$2,396 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$26,093 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$32,366 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$608 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$2,850 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$1,101 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$562 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$515 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$11,408 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Volume

$1,662,086

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,662,086 Vol

António José Seguro (IND)

$197,102 Vol.

89%

André Ventura (CH)

$370,417 Vol.

76%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$488,588 Vol.

27%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$387,021 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$121,735 Vol.

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$335 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,030 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$2,098 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$907 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$8,799 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$2,987 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,396 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$26,093 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$32,366 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$608 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$2,850 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$562 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$515 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$11,408 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,662,086

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

35%

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

54%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

75%

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?