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Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of April?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of April?

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 1.5%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,185,947 Vol.

NVIDIA 97.4%

Apple 1.5%

Alphabet <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,185,947 Vol.

Market icon

NVIDIA

$404,276 Vol.

97%

Market icon

Apple

$392,952 Vol.

2%

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Alphabet

$252,671 Vol.

1%

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Microsoft

$215,758 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$341,364 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Aramco

$270,744 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$308,763 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 97.5% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at month-end, reflecting its $4.3 trillion valuation—far ahead of Apple's roughly $4 trillion and others like Alphabet and Microsoft below $3 trillion. This trader consensus stems from NVIDIA's unchallenged supremacy in AI GPUs and data center semiconductors, fueled by sustained hyperscaler demand for Blackwell platforms amid the AI infrastructure boom, with no major challengers emerging in recent weeks. Stable stock performance around $177 shares reinforces the lead, as competitors face hurdles in closing the multi-trillion gap in just weeks. Realistic threats include a semiconductor sector correction, regulatory scrutiny on AI chips, or an improbable Apple services surge, though markets price these as low-probability tail risks.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,185,947
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 97.5% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at month-end, reflecting its $4.3 trillion valuation—far ahead of Apple's roughly $4 trillion and others like Alphabet and Microsoft below $3 trillion. This trader consensus stems from NVIDIA's unchallenged supremacy in AI GPUs and data center semiconductors, fueled by sustained hyperscaler demand for Blackwell platforms amid the AI infrastructure boom, with no major challengers emerging in recent weeks. Stable stock performance around $177 shares reinforces the lead, as competitors face hurdles in closing the multi-trillion gap in just weeks. Realistic threats include a semiconductor sector correction, regulatory scrutiny on AI chips, or an improbable Apple services surge, though markets price these as low-probability tail risks.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,185,947
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 97%, followed by "Apple" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of April?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of April?" is "NVIDIA" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.