Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 18°C in Tel Aviv on March 27 (78% implied probability), aligned with the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model ensemble, which project daytime peaks of 17–19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge limiting convective heating. Current morning observations show temperatures starting near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, with cool Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 17°C capping potential warming. Recent model runs overnight refined downward from prior 19–20°C estimates due to increased cloud cover persistence, while GFS shows slight divergence toward 19°C. Historical March highs average 19.5°C, but this week's cooler pattern reflects lingering post-winter air masses. Hourly data from Ben Gurion Airport stations will provide final resolution, with new afternoon updates potentially shifting slim odds on adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 27?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 27?
19°C 44%
20°C 3.9%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,689 Vol.
$36,689 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
17°C
<1%
18°C
63%
19°C
37%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 44%
20°C 3.9%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,689 Vol.
$36,689 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
17°C
$7,196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,902 Vol.
63%
19°C
$2,558 Vol.
37%
20°C
$3,530 Vol.
4%
21°C
$2,294 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 18°C in Tel Aviv on March 27 (78% implied probability), aligned with the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model ensemble, which project daytime peaks of 17–19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge limiting convective heating. Current morning observations show temperatures starting near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, with cool Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 17°C capping potential warming. Recent model runs overnight refined downward from prior 19–20°C estimates due to increased cloud cover persistence, while GFS shows slight divergence toward 19°C. Historical March highs average 19.5°C, but this week's cooler pattern reflects lingering post-winter air masses. Hourly data from Ben Gurion Airport stations will provide final resolution, with new afternoon updates potentially shifting slim odds on adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$36,689End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 18°C in Tel Aviv on March 27 (78% implied probability), aligned with the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model ensemble, which project daytime peaks of 17–19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge limiting convective heating. Current morning observations show temperatures starting near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, with cool Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 17°C capping potential warming. Recent model runs overnight refined downward from prior 19–20°C estimates due to increased cloud cover persistence, while GFS shows slight divergence toward 19°C. Historical March highs average 19.5°C, but this week's cooler pattern reflects lingering post-winter air masses. Hourly data from Ben Gurion Airport stations will provide final resolution, with new afternoon updates potentially shifting slim odds on adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,689End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 18°C in Tel Aviv on March 27 (78% implied probability), aligned with the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model ensemble, which project daytime peaks of 17–19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge limiting convective heating. Current morning observations show temperatures starting near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, with cool Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 17°C capping potential warming. Recent model runs overnight refined downward from prior 19–20°C estimates due to increased cloud cover persistence, while GFS shows slight divergence toward 19°C. Historical March highs average 19.5°C, but this week's cooler pattern reflects lingering post-winter air masses. Hourly data from Ben Gurion Airport stations will provide final resolution, with new afternoon updates potentially shifting slim odds on adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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