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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

25°C 24%

24°C 20%

26°C 19%

27°C 15%

Polymarket

$150,832 Vol.

25°C 24%

24°C 20%

26°C 19%

27°C 15%

Polymarket

$150,832 Vol.

22°C or below

$735 Vol.

6%

23°C

$909 Vol.

10%

24°C

$633 Vol.

20%

25°C

$478 Vol.

24%

26°C

$603 Vol.

19%

27°C

$567 Vol.

15%

28°C

$841 Vol.

11%

29°C

$1,309 Vol.

5%

30°C

$421 Vol.

1%

31°C

$530 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$144,021 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's March 29 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 24–26°C amid divergent short-range forecast models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Over the past 48 hours, Taipei has seen mild conditions averaging 22–24°C highs under lingering post-frontal stability, weak southerly winds, and partial cloud cover from a departed low-pressure system, capping convective heating. Subtle model disagreements hinge on afternoon boundary layer mixing and sea breeze penetration, which could push peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical late-March norms average 24°C. CWA's evening update will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's March 29 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 24–26°C amid divergent short-range forecast models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Over the past 48 hours, Taipei has seen mild conditions averaging 22–24°C highs under lingering post-frontal stability, weak southerly winds, and partial cloud cover from a departed low-pressure system, capping convective heating. Subtle model disagreements hinge on afternoon boundary layer mixing and sea breeze penetration, which could push peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical late-March norms average 24°C. CWA's evening update will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's March 29 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 24–26°C amid divergent short-range forecast models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Over the past 48 hours, Taipei has seen mild conditions averaging 22–24°C highs under lingering post-frontal stability, weak southerly winds, and partial cloud cover from a departed low-pressure system, capping convective heating. Subtle model disagreements hinge on afternoon boundary layer mixing and sea breeze penetration, which could push peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical late-March norms average 24°C. CWA's evening update will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's March 29 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 24–26°C amid divergent short-range forecast models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Over the past 48 hours, Taipei has seen mild conditions averaging 22–24°C highs under lingering post-frontal stability, weak southerly winds, and partial cloud cover from a departed low-pressure system, capping convective heating. Subtle model disagreements hinge on afternoon boundary layer mixing and sea breeze penetration, which could push peaks 1–2°C higher or lower; historical late-March norms average 24°C. CWA's evening update will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Songshan Airport observations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 24%, followed by "24°C" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" has generated $150.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" is "25°C" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "24°C" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.