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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?

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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

13°C 100.0%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

16°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$622,586 Vol.

13°C 100.0%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

16°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$622,586 Vol.

13°C

$45,549 Vol.

100%

14°C

$35,638 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$62,942 Vol.

<1%

16°C or higher

$47,566 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders overwhelmingly back 13°C (99.9% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, driven by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirming a daytime peak of 13°C under a stable cool air mass. Northerly winds and a blocking high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula limited solar heating and convective activity, aligning with consensus from KMA's short-range forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C amid typical spring variability. Scenarios challenging this—such as an unforecast rapid warm advection or station data correction—are highly improbable given KMA's calibrated surface measurements, with final verification reports due within hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$622,586
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders overwhelmingly back 13°C (99.9% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, driven by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirming a daytime peak of 13°C under a stable cool air mass. Northerly winds and a blocking high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula limited solar heating and convective activity, aligning with consensus from KMA's short-range forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C amid typical spring variability. Scenarios challenging this—such as an unforecast rapid warm advection or station data correction—are highly improbable given KMA's calibrated surface measurements, with final verification reports due within hours.

Traders overwhelmingly back 13°C (99.9% implied probability) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, driven by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirming a daytime peak of 13°C under a stable cool air mass. Northerly winds and a blocking high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula limited solar heating and convective activity, aligning with consensus from KMA's short-range forecast models and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 11–13°C amid typical spring variability. Scenarios challenging this—such as an unforecast rapid warm advection or station data correction—are highly improbable given KMA's calibrated surface measurements, with final verification reports due within hours.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "13°C" at 100%, followed by "14°C" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?" has generated $622.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?" is "13°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14°C" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.