Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on March 28 around 18°C, driving trader sentiment with 41% implied probability, as mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover limit extremes. Recent observational data shows daytime highs in the 16-19°C range over the past week amid a stabilizing spring pattern following early March cold snaps, with no major frontal systems projected to disrupt. Historical March averages for Chongqing hover at 17-18°C, aligning with current positioning, though small uncertainties in diurnal heating could shift outcomes toward 17°C or 19°C. Updated model runs expected by March 27 may refine these probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
18°C 41%
19°C 26%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
$20,910 Vol.
$20,910 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
41%
19°C
26%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 26%
17°C 19%
20°C 13%
$20,910 Vol.
$20,910 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C
$4,442 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,071 Vol.
19%
18°C
$502 Vol.
41%
19°C
$477 Vol.
26%
20°C
$720 Vol.
13%
21°C
$2,058 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,146 Vol.
2%
23°C
$2,275 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$798 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on March 28 around 18°C, driving trader sentiment with 41% implied probability, as mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover limit extremes. Recent observational data shows daytime highs in the 16-19°C range over the past week amid a stabilizing spring pattern following early March cold snaps, with no major frontal systems projected to disrupt. Historical March averages for Chongqing hover at 17-18°C, aligning with current positioning, though small uncertainties in diurnal heating could shift outcomes toward 17°C or 19°C. Updated model runs expected by March 27 may refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Volume
$20,910End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on March 28 around 18°C, driving trader sentiment with 41% implied probability, as mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover limit extremes. Recent observational data shows daytime highs in the 16-19°C range over the past week amid a stabilizing spring pattern following early March cold snaps, with no major frontal systems projected to disrupt. Historical March averages for Chongqing hover at 17-18°C, aligning with current positioning, though small uncertainties in diurnal heating could shift outcomes toward 17°C or 19°C. Updated model runs expected by March 27 may refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,910End Date
Mar 28, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on March 28 around 18°C, driving trader sentiment with 41% implied probability, as mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover limit extremes. Recent observational data shows daytime highs in the 16-19°C range over the past week amid a stabilizing spring pattern following early March cold snaps, with no major frontal systems projected to disrupt. Historical March averages for Chongqing hover at 17-18°C, aligning with current positioning, though small uncertainties in diurnal heating could shift outcomes toward 17°C or 19°C. Updated model runs expected by March 27 may refine these probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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