Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF consensus point to a high temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 27, driven by persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Recent observational data shows surface temperatures averaging 14-16°C over the past week amid a stable high-pressure system, aligning with seasonal norms for late March in this subtropical region where historical highs rarely exceed 20°C before April. Trader consensus reflects this near-certainty (99.8% implied probability), backed by minimal divergence in ensemble model runs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or clearing skies boosting solar insolation by 2-3°C, though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely ahead of the daily observation report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$82,257 Vol.
$82,257 Vol.
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$82,257 Vol.
$82,257 Vol.
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF consensus point to a high temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 27, driven by persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Recent observational data shows surface temperatures averaging 14-16°C over the past week amid a stable high-pressure system, aligning with seasonal norms for late March in this subtropical region where historical highs rarely exceed 20°C before April. Trader consensus reflects this near-certainty (99.8% implied probability), backed by minimal divergence in ensemble model runs. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or clearing skies boosting solar insolation by 2-3°C, though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely ahead of the daily observation report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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