Ongoing gang violence and persistent security shortfalls continue to complicate preparations for Haiti’s long-delayed 2026 general elections, currently set for an August 30 first round and December 6 runoff under the Provisional Electoral Council’s timeline. Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé recently stated that conditions fall short for an August vote while expressing a goal of completing the process by year-end to seat an elected president by February 2027. Voter and candidate registration steps were postponed in April pending alignment with a national political pact, yet hundreds of parties have registered, an electoral law has advanced, and transitional authorities maintain the August target. Traders assign a 67 percent probability to no additional delay, viewing these institutional steps and external pressure as outweighing the risks of further postponement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gang violence and persistent security shortfalls continue to complicate preparations for Haiti’s long-delayed 2026 general elections, currently set for an August 30 first round and December 6 runoff under the Provisional Electoral Council’s timeline. Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé recently stated that conditions fall short for an August vote while expressing a goal of completing the process by year-end to seat an elected president by February 2027. Voter and candidate registration steps were postponed in April pending alignment with a national political pact, yet hundreds of parties have registered, an electoral law has advanced, and transitional authorities maintain the August target. Traders assign a 67 percent probability to no additional delay, viewing these institutional steps and external pressure as outweighing the risks of further postponement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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