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icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

icon for Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence and persistent security shortfalls continue to complicate preparations for Haiti’s long-delayed 2026 general elections, currently set for an August 30 first round and December 6 runoff under the Provisional Electoral Council’s timeline. Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé recently stated that conditions fall short for an August vote while expressing a goal of completing the process by year-end to seat an elected president by February 2027. Voter and candidate registration steps were postponed in April pending alignment with a national political pact, yet hundreds of parties have registered, an electoral law has advanced, and transitional authorities maintain the August target. Traders assign a 67 percent probability to no additional delay, viewing these institutional steps and external pressure as outweighing the risks of further postponement.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,064
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ongoing gang violence and persistent security shortfalls continue to complicate preparations for Haiti’s long-delayed 2026 general elections, currently set for an August 30 first round and December 6 runoff under the Provisional Electoral Council’s timeline. Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé recently stated that conditions fall short for an August vote while expressing a goal of completing the process by year-end to seat an elected president by February 2027. Voter and candidate registration steps were postponed in April pending alignment with a national political pact, yet hundreds of parties have registered, an electoral law has advanced, and transitional authorities maintain the August target. Traders assign a 67 percent probability to no additional delay, viewing these institutional steps and external pressure as outweighing the risks of further postponement.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,064
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Haiti elections delayed again?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 40% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 40¢, the market collectively assigns a 40% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Haiti elections delayed again?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Haiti elections delayed again?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Haiti elections delayed again?" is 40% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 40% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Haiti elections delayed again?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.