Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 27-April 3 tightly clusters around 240-299 (topping at 260-279 with 13.5% implied probability), mirroring his recent weekly averages of 30-40 posts per day from resolved markets like March 20-27 (near 260 total) and ongoing March 24-31 trackers showing similar trajectories. This reflects stabilized output post-2024 election frenzy, with weekday peaks (e.g., 36-54 on March 23-24) offsetting weekend dips (17/day early March 26-28). Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variability—news-driven spikes from Tesla/SpaceX updates or viral political engagements could push toward 300+, while quieter periods favor lower ranges; watch mid-week catalysts like product announcements for momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 14%
240-259 11.9%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
$6,405,205 Vol.
$6,405,205 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
9%
240-259
12%
260-279
14%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
9%
340-359
8%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 14%
240-259 11.9%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
$6,405,205 Vol.
$6,405,205 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
9%
240-259
12%
260-279
14%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
9%
340-359
8%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 27-April 3 tightly clusters around 240-299 (topping at 260-279 with 13.5% implied probability), mirroring his recent weekly averages of 30-40 posts per day from resolved markets like March 20-27 (near 260 total) and ongoing March 24-31 trackers showing similar trajectories. This reflects stabilized output post-2024 election frenzy, with weekday peaks (e.g., 36-54 on March 23-24) offsetting weekend dips (17/day early March 26-28). Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variability—news-driven spikes from Tesla/SpaceX updates or viral political engagements could push toward 300+, while quieter periods favor lower ranges; watch mid-week catalysts like product announcements for momentum shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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