Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, with 260-279 leading at 13.5% implied probability, mirroring the prior week's resolved 260-279 total amid his sustained 35-40 posts-per-day rhythm. This reflects steady engagement on political firestorms, Tesla FSD clips, xAI debates, and meme replies, as seen in his 50+ post days like March 23. Closely matched odds underscore competitive dynamics: no major catalysts like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy drops yet, but viral moments or Trump admin updates could spike volume, while travel or focus shifts might trim it—traders eye daily trackers for swing factors before April 3 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 14%
240-259 12.0%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
$6,413,459 Vol.
$6,413,459 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
9%
240-259
12%
260-279
14%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
9%
340-359
8%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 14%
240-259 12.0%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
$6,413,459 Vol.
$6,413,459 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
<20
$128,980 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$5,041,855 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$129,412 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$115,442 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$58,800 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$58,287 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$41,725 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$39,375 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$38,896 Vol.
1%
180-199
$39,251 Vol.
3%
200-219
$45,766 Vol.
6%
220-239
$57,160 Vol.
9%
240-259
$44,769 Vol.
12%
260-279
$59,437 Vol.
14%
280-299
$36,720 Vol.
12%
300-319
$26,054 Vol.
11%
320-339
$30,586 Vol.
9%
340-359
$26,412 Vol.
8%
360-379
$22,366 Vol.
7%
380-399
$24,017 Vol.
5%
400-419
$42,567 Vol.
3%
420-439
$37,576 Vol.
2%
440-459
$36,602 Vol.
1%
460-479
$31,117 Vol.
1%
480-499
$30,995 Vol.
1%
500-519
$23,101 Vol.
1%
520-539
$37,096 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$38,591 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$22,308 Vol.
<1%
580+
$48,772 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, with 260-279 leading at 13.5% implied probability, mirroring the prior week's resolved 260-279 total amid his sustained 35-40 posts-per-day rhythm. This reflects steady engagement on political firestorms, Tesla FSD clips, xAI debates, and meme replies, as seen in his 50+ post days like March 23. Closely matched odds underscore competitive dynamics: no major catalysts like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy drops yet, but viral moments or Trump admin updates could spike volume, while travel or focus shifts might trim it—traders eye daily trackers for swing factors before April 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$6,413,459End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, with 260-279 leading at 13.5% implied probability, mirroring the prior week's resolved 260-279 total amid his sustained 35-40 posts-per-day rhythm. This reflects steady engagement on political firestorms, Tesla FSD clips, xAI debates, and meme replies, as seen in his 50+ post days like March 23. Closely matched odds underscore competitive dynamics: no major catalysts like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy drops yet, but viral moments or Trump admin updates could spike volume, while travel or focus shifts might trim it—traders eye daily trackers for swing factors before April 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,413,459End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-299 X posts by Elon Musk from March 27 to April 3, with 260-279 leading at 13.5% implied probability, mirroring the prior week's resolved 260-279 total amid his sustained 35-40 posts-per-day rhythm. This reflects steady engagement on political firestorms, Tesla FSD clips, xAI debates, and meme replies, as seen in his 50+ post days like March 23. Closely matched odds underscore competitive dynamics: no major catalysts like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy drops yet, but viral moments or Trump admin updates could spike volume, while travel or focus shifts might trim it—traders eye daily trackers for swing factors before April 3 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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