Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 340-379 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with 340-359 (13.5%) and 360-379 (13%) leading narrowly over 320-339 (11.5%), signaling tight competition in the mid-300s range amid his signature bursty posting style. This clustering extrapolates from verified recent patterns—253 tweets the week of November 11-17, 2024, and historical peaks exceeding 400 during controversies—factoring in Elon's amplified activity since the 2024 election via DOGE initiatives and X platform tweaks. Differentiators include potential spikes from Tesla unveils or political flare-ups, though baseline averages hover 30-50 daily posts; low-volume tails reflect quieter periods, underscoring event-driven volatility in his cultural megaphone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated340-359 14%
360-379 13%
380-399 12.3%
320-339 12%
$2,266,345 Vol.
$2,266,345 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
1%
240-259
3%
260-279
4%
280-299
9%
300-319
11%
320-339
12%
340-359
14%
360-379
13%
380-399
12%
400-419
10%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
340-359 14%
360-379 13%
380-399 12.3%
320-339 12%
$2,266,345 Vol.
$2,266,345 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
1%
240-259
3%
260-279
4%
280-299
9%
300-319
11%
320-339
12%
340-359
14%
360-379
13%
380-399
12%
400-419
10%
420-439
4%
440-459
3%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 340-379 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with 340-359 (13.5%) and 360-379 (13%) leading narrowly over 320-339 (11.5%), signaling tight competition in the mid-300s range amid his signature bursty posting style. This clustering extrapolates from verified recent patterns—253 tweets the week of November 11-17, 2024, and historical peaks exceeding 400 during controversies—factoring in Elon's amplified activity since the 2024 election via DOGE initiatives and X platform tweaks. Differentiators include potential spikes from Tesla unveils or political flare-ups, though baseline averages hover 30-50 daily posts; low-volume tails reflect quieter periods, underscoring event-driven volatility in his cultural megaphone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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