Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk sustaining his elevated X posting rate of roughly 40-60 daily, projecting 320-399 posts for March 17-24, 2026, with those bins capturing over 57% implied probability amid tight clustering. Recent patterns show spikes during U.S. political discourse, Tesla announcements, and SpaceX milestones, but week-to-week variability—from election fervor to lulls—keeps top ranges neck-and-neck. This race stays close due to unpredictable 2026 triggers like midterm positioning or corporate earnings, where a major policy debate or launch could surge volume past 400, while relative quiet might favor 300-339. Upcoming calendars for SpaceX tests or regulatory news will likely sharpen separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
340-359 17%
360-379 16%
380-399 13.3%
320-339 12%
$4,502,669 Vol.
$4,502,669 Vol.
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
2%
280-299
4%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
17%
360-379
16%
380-399
13%
400-419
11%
420-439
8%
440-459
4%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
340-359 17%
360-379 16%
380-399 13.3%
320-339 12%
$4,502,669 Vol.
$4,502,669 Vol.
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
2%
280-299
4%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
17%
360-379
16%
380-399
13%
400-419
11%
420-439
8%
440-459
4%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk sustaining his elevated X posting rate of roughly 40-60 daily, projecting 320-399 posts for March 17-24, 2026, with those bins capturing over 57% implied probability amid tight clustering. Recent patterns show spikes during U.S. political discourse, Tesla announcements, and SpaceX milestones, but week-to-week variability—from election fervor to lulls—keeps top ranges neck-and-neck. This race stays close due to unpredictable 2026 triggers like midterm positioning or corporate earnings, where a major policy debate or launch could surge volume past 400, while relative quiet might favor 300-339. Upcoming calendars for SpaceX tests or regulatory news will likely sharpen separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions