Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 380-419 tweets during March 17-24, 2026, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns of 50-100 daily X posts amid 2024 election fervor and SpaceX/Tesla updates. Recent surges, including over 400 weekly posts in late 2024 tied to political endorsements and DOGE co-leadership announcements, anchor expectations around 400, but volatility keeps bins like 360-399 tightly matched at over 68% implied probability. Fluctuations stem from event-driven spikes—launches, regulatory battles, or platform tweaks—creating uncertainty; separation could arise from scheduled Tesla earnings, Starship tests, or government efficiency milestones boosting or curbing his X engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?
380-399 28.1%
400-419 23.6%
360-379 17%
420-439 15.2%
$6,922,512 Vol.
$6,922,512 Vol.
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
4%
360-379
17%
380-399
28%
400-419
24%
420-439
15%
440-459
7%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
380-399 28.1%
400-419 23.6%
360-379 17%
420-439 15.2%
$6,922,512 Vol.
$6,922,512 Vol.
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
4%
360-379
17%
380-399
28%
400-419
24%
420-439
15%
440-459
7%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 380-419 tweets during March 17-24, 2026, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns of 50-100 daily X posts amid 2024 election fervor and SpaceX/Tesla updates. Recent surges, including over 400 weekly posts in late 2024 tied to political endorsements and DOGE co-leadership announcements, anchor expectations around 400, but volatility keeps bins like 360-399 tightly matched at over 68% implied probability. Fluctuations stem from event-driven spikes—launches, regulatory battles, or platform tweaks—creating uncertainty; separation could arise from scheduled Tesla earnings, Starship tests, or government efficiency milestones boosting or curbing his X engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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