Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's April 2026 tweet count at 1300-1450, with top bins like 1400-1439 (6.6%) and 1360-1399 (5.5%) leading by slim margins, reflecting his recent average of 40-50 posts daily amid X platform dominance and cultural controversies. Historical peaks, such as 2024 election surges topping 1400 monthly, fuel optimism for sustained high volume driven by Tesla updates, xAI hype, and viral meme culture. Closely matched mid-high ranges highlight uncertainty around potential slowdowns from business pivots or regulations, while tail risks like 2000+ (1.3%) bet on explosive events; watch Q1 2026 activity for shifts as traders price in Elon's unpredictable social media force.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1400-1439 6.6%
1360-1399 5.5%
1280-1319 5.3%
1320-1359 5.1%
$3,116,398 Vol.
$3,116,398 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
4%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
6%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
4%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
4%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
1400-1439 6.6%
1360-1399 5.5%
1280-1319 5.3%
1320-1359 5.1%
$3,116,398 Vol.
$3,116,398 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
4%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
6%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
4%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
4%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's April 2026 tweet count at 1300-1450, with top bins like 1400-1439 (6.6%) and 1360-1399 (5.5%) leading by slim margins, reflecting his recent average of 40-50 posts daily amid X platform dominance and cultural controversies. Historical peaks, such as 2024 election surges topping 1400 monthly, fuel optimism for sustained high volume driven by Tesla updates, xAI hype, and viral meme culture. Closely matched mid-high ranges highlight uncertainty around potential slowdowns from business pivots or regulations, while tail risks like 2000+ (1.3%) bet on explosive events; watch Q1 2026 activity for shifts as traders price in Elon's unpredictable social media force.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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