Market icon

Bank of Japan decision in January?

$1,753,986 Vol.

No change 97.5%

25 bps increase 1.4%

Decrease rates <1%

50+ bps increase <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for January is scheduled to be released on January 23, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's January 2026 meeting.

If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$1,753,986
End Date
Jan 23, 2026
Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.

$1,753,986 Vol.

Market icon

Bank of Japan decision in January?

No change 97.5%

25 bps increase 1.4%

Decrease rates <1%

50+ bps increase <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Decrease rates

$573,250 Vol.

1%

No change

$510,389 Vol.

98%

25 bps increase

$347,018 Vol.

1%

50+ bps increase

$323,330 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,753,986
End Date
Jan 23, 2026
Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.