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政治·Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？

Market icon
政治·Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？

はい

8% chance
Polymarket

$42,562 Vol.

はい

8% chance
Polymarket

$42,562 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Mayor Zohran Mamdani's strong early performance as New York City mayor, with Siena College polls showing 68% approval in late January and sustained high favorability into March, underpins trader consensus favoring him remaining in office through 2026. Recent announcements, including a March 27 street safety initiative and March 25 affordable housing plan, demonstrate active governance amid a $7 billion budget gap, but without crises triggering resignation, impeachment, or removal. While facing conservative criticism like Citizens Against Government Waste's March 26 "Porker of the Month" label and Wall Street pushback on tax proposals, robust Democratic support and no legal or health developments signal stability, though scandals or City Council conflicts could shift odds.

Mayor Zohran Mamdani's strong early performance as New York City mayor, with Siena College polls showing 68% approval in late January and sustained high favorability into March, underpins trader consensus favoring him remaining in office through 2026. Recent announcements, including a March 27 street safety initiative and March 25 affordable housing plan, demonstrate active governance amid a $7 billion budget gap, but without crises triggering resignation, impeachment, or removal. While facing conservative criticism like Citizens Against Government Waste's March 26 "Porker of the Month" label and Wall Street pushback on tax proposals, robust Democratic support and no legal or health developments signal stability, though scandals or City Council conflicts could shift odds.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Mayor Zohran Mamdani's strong early performance as New York City mayor, with Siena College polls showing 68% approval in late January and sustained high favorability into March, underpins trader consensus favoring him remaining in office through 2026. Recent announcements, including a March 27 street safety initiative and March 25 affordable housing plan, demonstrate active governance amid a $7 billion budget gap, but without crises triggering resignation, impeachment, or removal. While facing conservative criticism like Citizens Against Government Waste's March 26 "Porker of the Month" label and Wall Street pushback on tax proposals, robust Democratic support and no legal or health developments signal stability, though scandals or City Council conflicts could shift odds.

Mayor Zohran Mamdani's strong early performance as New York City mayor, with Siena College polls showing 68% approval in late January and sustained high favorability into March, underpins trader consensus favoring him remaining in office through 2026. Recent announcements, including a March 27 street safety initiative and March 25 affordable housing plan, demonstrate active governance amid a $7 billion budget gap, but without crises triggering resignation, impeachment, or removal. While facing conservative criticism like Citizens Against Government Waste's March 26 "Porker of the Month" label and Wall Street pushback on tax proposals, robust Democratic support and no legal or health developments signal stability, though scandals or City Council conflicts could shift odds.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ゾーラン・マムダニは2027年以前にニューヨーク市長を退任するか？」で8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、8¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に8%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？」は$42.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？」の現在のリーダーは「ゾーラン・マムダニは2027年以前にニューヨーク市長を退任するか？」でわずか8%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。