Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, extended key Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions but preserved long-term capital gains tax rates at 0%, 15%, and 20%, diminishing prospects for further cuts and driving trader consensus toward "No." A March 2026 administration proposal to index capital gains for inflation, aimed at addressing "phantom" gains, has stalled amid warnings from think tanks like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget that it could add nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade. Ongoing congressional gridlock, including House Republicans rejecting a Senate DHS funding bill as of late March 2026—triggering partial shutdown risks—further erodes momentum for new tax legislation before the market's 2027 resolution, despite Trump's upcoming April 3 budget request.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, extended key Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions but preserved long-term capital gains tax rates at 0%, 15%, and 20%, diminishing prospects for further cuts and driving trader consensus toward "No." A March 2026 administration proposal to index capital gains for inflation, aimed at addressing "phantom" gains, has stalled amid warnings from think tanks like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget that it could add nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade. Ongoing congressional gridlock, including House Republicans rejecting a Senate DHS funding bill as of late March 2026—triggering partial shutdown risks—further erodes momentum for new tax legislation before the market's 2027 resolution, despite Trump's upcoming April 3 budget request.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,064終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, extended key Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions but preserved long-term capital gains tax rates at 0%, 15%, and 20%, diminishing prospects for further cuts and driving trader consensus toward "No." A March 2026 administration proposal to index capital gains for inflation, aimed at addressing "phantom" gains, has stalled amid warnings from think tanks like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget that it could add nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade. Ongoing congressional gridlock, including House Republicans rejecting a Senate DHS funding bill as of late March 2026—triggering partial shutdown risks—further erodes momentum for new tax legislation before the market's 2027 resolution, despite Trump's upcoming April 3 budget request.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,064終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, extended key Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions but preserved long-term capital gains tax rates at 0%, 15%, and 20%, diminishing prospects for further cuts and driving trader consensus toward "No." A March 2026 administration proposal to index capital gains for inflation, aimed at addressing "phantom" gains, has stalled amid warnings from think tanks like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget that it could add nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade. Ongoing congressional gridlock, including House Republicans rejecting a Senate DHS funding bill as of late March 2026—triggering partial shutdown risks—further erodes momentum for new tax legislation before the market's 2027 resolution, despite Trump's upcoming April 3 budget request.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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