Trader consensus reflects a low likelihood of a US announcement of military support for Kurds in Iran by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal White House, Pentagon, or State Department declaration as of late March 2026. Early March reports detailed CIA consultations with Iranian Kurdish militias in Iraq on potential operations against regime forces, including arms requests, amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. President Trump publicly urged Kurdish leaders to join the effort, calling it "wonderful" and pledging backing, while thousands of US paratroopers deployed to the Middle East. However, US assurances to Turkey against direct Kurdish involvement, plus risks of straining Iraq ties and broader escalation, have kept rhetoric short of explicit military commitment ahead of the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$472,546 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
4月30日
46%
$472,546 Vol.
3月31日
$472,546 Vol.
1%
4月30日
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects a low likelihood of a US announcement of military support for Kurds in Iran by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal White House, Pentagon, or State Department declaration as of late March 2026. Early March reports detailed CIA consultations with Iranian Kurdish militias in Iraq on potential operations against regime forces, including arms requests, amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. President Trump publicly urged Kurdish leaders to join the effort, calling it "wonderful" and pledging backing, while thousands of US paratroopers deployed to the Middle East. However, US assurances to Turkey against direct Kurdish involvement, plus risks of straining Iraq ties and broader escalation, have kept rhetoric short of explicit military commitment ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
音量
$472,546終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects a low likelihood of a US announcement of military support for Kurds in Iran by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal White House, Pentagon, or State Department declaration as of late March 2026. Early March reports detailed CIA consultations with Iranian Kurdish militias in Iraq on potential operations against regime forces, including arms requests, amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. President Trump publicly urged Kurdish leaders to join the effort, calling it "wonderful" and pledging backing, while thousands of US paratroopers deployed to the Middle East. However, US assurances to Turkey against direct Kurdish involvement, plus risks of straining Iraq ties and broader escalation, have kept rhetoric short of explicit military commitment ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.
For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$472,546終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a low likelihood of a US announcement of military support for Kurds in Iran by March 31, driven by the absence of any formal White House, Pentagon, or State Department declaration as of late March 2026. Early March reports detailed CIA consultations with Iranian Kurdish militias in Iraq on potential operations against regime forces, including arms requests, amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. President Trump publicly urged Kurdish leaders to join the effort, calling it "wonderful" and pledging backing, while thousands of US paratroopers deployed to the Middle East. However, US assurances to Turkey against direct Kurdish involvement, plus risks of straining Iraq ties and broader escalation, have kept rhetoric short of explicit military commitment ahead of the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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