Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations toward Borova in northern Kharkiv Oblast as part of the broader Lyman-Borova axis, involving the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies under Western Grouping of Forces, but the Institute for the Study of War reported no confirmed advances as of March 25, 2026. Positional combat persists, with Ukrainian defenders repelling infantry infiltrations and countering near forward positions, while unverified reports indicate limited Russian gains east of nearby Novoplatonovka and approaches to the Oskil River. No troops have entered Borova proper, amid preparations for a potential spring-summer mechanized offensive; traders monitor frontline escalations, logistics via Raihorodok-Sloviansk lines, and encirclement risks around Lyman for shifts in momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$135,299 Vol.
4月30日
8%
$135,299 Vol.
4月30日
8%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Feb 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations toward Borova in northern Kharkiv Oblast as part of the broader Lyman-Borova axis, involving the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies under Western Grouping of Forces, but the Institute for the Study of War reported no confirmed advances as of March 25, 2026. Positional combat persists, with Ukrainian defenders repelling infantry infiltrations and countering near forward positions, while unverified reports indicate limited Russian gains east of nearby Novoplatonovka and approaches to the Oskil River. No troops have entered Borova proper, amid preparations for a potential spring-summer mechanized offensive; traders monitor frontline escalations, logistics via Raihorodok-Sloviansk lines, and encirclement risks around Lyman for shifts in momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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