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政治·中間選考

ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？

Market icon
政治·中間選考

ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？

はい

50% chance
Polymarket
NEW

はい

50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face Proposal 2026-01 on the November 3 ballot, automatically placed every 16 years per the state constitution, asking whether to convene a delegate convention for a potential general revision; trader consensus implies 57.5% odds of yes amid frustration with the 1963 document's 50+ amendments on abortion rights, minimum wage, and sick leave. Recent opposition intensified last week as the Michigan Democratic Party endorsed no alongside a broad coalition of business (Michigan Chamber), labor (AFL-CIO, Education Association), and democracy groups citing risks of special interests hijacking reforms; Republican leaders like Sen. Aric Nesbitt counter with calls for streamlining taxes and redistricting. Historical defeats (33% yes in 2010) underscore caution, but low awareness and high-stakes 2026 races for governor, legislature, and courts keep the outcome competitive.

Michigan voters face Proposal 2026-01 on the November 3 ballot, automatically placed every 16 years per the state constitution, asking whether to convene a delegate convention for a potential general revision; trader consensus implies 57.5% odds of yes amid frustration with the 1963 document's 50+ amendments on abortion rights, minimum wage, and sick leave. Recent opposition intensified last week as the Michigan Democratic Party endorsed no alongside a broad coalition of business (Michigan Chamber), labor (AFL-CIO, Education Association), and democracy groups citing risks of special interests hijacking reforms; Republican leaders like Sen. Aric Nesbitt counter with calls for streamlining taxes and redistricting. Historical defeats (33% yes in 2010) underscore caution, but low awareness and high-stakes 2026 races for governor, legislature, and courts keep the outcome competitive.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face Proposal 2026-01 on the November 3 ballot, automatically placed every 16 years per the state constitution, asking whether to convene a delegate convention for a potential general revision; trader consensus implies 57.5% odds of yes amid frustration with the 1963 document's 50+ amendments on abortion rights, minimum wage, and sick leave. Recent opposition intensified last week as the Michigan Democratic Party endorsed no alongside a broad coalition of business (Michigan Chamber), labor (AFL-CIO, Education Association), and democracy groups citing risks of special interests hijacking reforms; Republican leaders like Sen. Aric Nesbitt counter with calls for streamlining taxes and redistricting. Historical defeats (33% yes in 2010) underscore caution, but low awareness and high-stakes 2026 races for governor, legislature, and courts keep the outcome competitive.

Michigan voters face Proposal 2026-01 on the November 3 ballot, automatically placed every 16 years per the state constitution, asking whether to convene a delegate convention for a potential general revision; trader consensus implies 57.5% odds of yes amid frustration with the 1963 document's 50+ amendments on abortion rights, minimum wage, and sick leave. Recent opposition intensified last week as the Michigan Democratic Party endorsed no alongside a broad coalition of business (Michigan Chamber), labor (AFL-CIO, Education Association), and democracy groups citing risks of special interests hijacking reforms; Republican leaders like Sen. Aric Nesbitt counter with calls for streamlining taxes and redistricting. Historical defeats (33% yes in 2010) underscore caution, but low awareness and high-stakes 2026 races for governor, legislature, and courts keep the outcome competitive.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ミシガン州は州憲法の改正に投票しますか？」で57%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 2, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ミシガン州は州憲法の改正に投票しますか？」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミシガン州は州憲法を書き換えることに投票しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。