U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran that began in late February, disrupting global crude oil supplies and pushing Brent prices above $95 per barrel. This escalation accounts for a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month amid rising spring driving demand and tighter refinery margins. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty over further military actions or diplomatic breakthroughs that could exacerbate or ease supply shocks before April 30 resolution, based on AAA national averages. Upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status reports and potential OPEC+ responses remain key catalysts, with historical precedents showing rapid reversals from de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
$124,013 Vol.
2026/04/30
↑ 5.00ドル
6%
↑ $4.75
16%
↑ $4.50
43%
↑ $4.25
70%
↑ $4.15
96%
↓ $3.95
65%
↓ $3.85
37%
↓ $3.75
11%
↓ $3.50
8%
↓ 3.25ドル
7%
↓ $3.00
6%
$124,013 Vol.
↑ 5.00ドル
$1,776 Vol.
6%
↑ $4.75
$896 Vol.
16%
↑ $4.50
$994 Vol.
43%
↑ $4.25
$3,511 Vol.
70%
↑ $4.15
$2,456 Vol.
96%
↓ $3.95
$1,531 Vol.
65%
↓ $3.85
$1,796 Vol.
37%
↓ $3.75
$437 Vol.
11%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
8%
↓ 3.25ドル
$0 Vol.
7%
↓ $3.00
$488 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran that began in late February, disrupting global crude oil supplies and pushing Brent prices above $95 per barrel. This escalation accounts for a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month amid rising spring driving demand and tighter refinery margins. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty over further military actions or diplomatic breakthroughs that could exacerbate or ease supply shocks before April 30 resolution, based on AAA national averages. Upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status reports and potential OPEC+ responses remain key catalysts, with historical precedents showing rapid reversals from de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
音量
$124,013終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran that began in late February, disrupting global crude oil supplies and pushing Brent prices above $95 per barrel. This escalation accounts for a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month amid rising spring driving demand and tighter refinery margins. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty over further military actions or diplomatic breakthroughs that could exacerbate or ease supply shocks before April 30 resolution, based on AAA national averages. Upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status reports and potential OPEC+ responses remain key catalysts, with historical precedents showing rapid reversals from de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$124,013終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran that began in late February, disrupting global crude oil supplies and pushing Brent prices above $95 per barrel. This escalation accounts for a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month amid rising spring driving demand and tighter refinery margins. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty over further military actions or diplomatic breakthroughs that could exacerbate or ease supply shocks before April 30 resolution, based on AAA national averages. Upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status reports and potential OPEC+ responses remain key catalysts, with historical precedents showing rapid reversals from de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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