Market icon
政治·中東

2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？

Market icon
政治·中東

2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？

Dec 31

Dec 31

$330,874 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$330,874 Vol.

Polymarket

ソマリランド

$44,903 Vol.

31%

サウジアラビア

$46,864 Vol.

21%

レバノン

$0 Vol.

19%

シリア

$110,357 Vol.

18%

アゼルバイジャン

$28,259 Vol.

17%

オマーン

$100,492 Vol.

15%

クウェート

$0 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

President Trump's March 28 call at the FII Priority summit for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, citing Iran's diminished threat after recent U.S.-led strikes, has reignited speculation on further normalization expansions. Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 marked the first addition under Trump's second term, extending the framework beyond Arab states to Central Asia for economic and security benefits. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted the breakaway region's pledge to join, while U.S.-brokered Israel-Syria security talks in January 2026 signal potential diplomatic ties, though Syria has distanced itself from the Accords label. Traders weigh these diplomatic overtures against persistent hurdles like Saudi demands for Palestinian progress and regional instabilities, with no new joins confirmed since Kazakhstan. Upcoming Saudi responses and Syria negotiations could shift dynamics before the 2027 deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ソマリランド」で31%、次いで「サウジアラビア」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」は$330.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ソマリランド」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「サウジアラビア」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにエイブラハム合意に加盟する国はどこですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。