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地政学·イスラエル

6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？

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地政学·イスラエル

6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？

$115,043 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$115,043 Vol.

Polymarket
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北朝鮮

$0 Vol.

5%

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キューバ

$0 Vol.

5%

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サウジアラビア

$3,711 Vol.

12%

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レバノン

$17,517 Vol.

6%

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アフガニスタン

$0 Vol.

5%

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イラク

$0 Vol.

5%

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パキスタン

$0 Vol.

7%

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シリア

$4,357 Vol.

10%

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ベネズエラ

$80,137 Vol.

7%

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チュニジア

$477 Vol.

10%

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クウェート

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

カタール

$942 Vol.

7%

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インドネシア

$6,904 Vol.

7%

Market icon

マレーシア

$435 Vol.

5%

Market icon

バングラデシュ

$563 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys formal diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, with no new recognitions recorded since the 2020 Abraham Accords involving the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, alongside Bhutan. The past 30 days have seen no notable diplomatic breakthroughs, as ongoing Gaza hostilities, Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Syria, and Iran's proxy escalations reinforce holdout stances among the 23-29 non-recognizing nations, mostly Arab and Muslim-majority like Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Indonesia, Tunisia, and Kuwait. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine and Arab polls showing minimal support for normalization further dampen trader expectations ahead of the June 30 resolution, which requires official government announcements of recognition since November 2025. Potential catalysts include unscheduled bilateral talks or Abraham Accords expansions, though structural barriers like demands for Palestinian statehood persist.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$115,043
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys formal diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, with no new recognitions recorded since the 2020 Abraham Accords involving the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, alongside Bhutan. The past 30 days have seen no notable diplomatic breakthroughs, as ongoing Gaza hostilities, Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Syria, and Iran's proxy escalations reinforce holdout stances among the 23-29 non-recognizing nations, mostly Arab and Muslim-majority like Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Indonesia, Tunisia, and Kuwait. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine and Arab polls showing minimal support for normalization further dampen trader expectations ahead of the June 30 resolution, which requires official government announcements of recognition since November 2025. Potential catalysts include unscheduled bilateral talks or Abraham Accords expansions, though structural barriers like demands for Palestinian statehood persist.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$115,043
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「サウジアラビア」で12%、次いで「シリア」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？」は$115Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 20, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「サウジアラビア」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シリア」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月30日までにイスラエルを承認する国はどこですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。