Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains stalled for the roughly two dozen UN holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority states like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Tunisia, amid ongoing Palestinian solidarity and regional conflicts. Recent de-escalation after Israel's military actions against Iran has prompted US figures including Senator Lindsey Graham and former President Trump to urge Saudi-Israeli ties, with reports of Israel's secret diplomatic contacts with non-relations countries as of mid-March 2026. However, no formal recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, echoing the post-Abraham Accords freeze since 2020. Riyadh and others condition progress on Palestinian statehood advancements, with trader consensus skeptical of breakthroughs by June 30 absent major concessions or summits.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$88,125 Vol.

北朝鮮
4%

キューバ
6%

サウジアラビア
10%

レバノン
6%

アフガニスタン
6%

イラク
5%

パキスタン
7%

シリア
9%

ベネズエラ
9%

チュニジア
11%

クウェート
10%

カタール
8%

インドネシア
7%

マレーシア
5%

バングラデシュ
10%
$88,125 Vol.

北朝鮮
4%

キューバ
6%

サウジアラビア
10%

レバノン
6%

アフガニスタン
6%

イラク
5%

パキスタン
7%

シリア
9%

ベネズエラ
9%

チュニジア
11%

クウェート
10%

カタール
8%

インドネシア
7%

マレーシア
5%

バングラデシュ
10%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains stalled for the roughly two dozen UN holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority states like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Tunisia, amid ongoing Palestinian solidarity and regional conflicts. Recent de-escalation after Israel's military actions against Iran has prompted US figures including Senator Lindsey Graham and former President Trump to urge Saudi-Israeli ties, with reports of Israel's secret diplomatic contacts with non-relations countries as of mid-March 2026. However, no formal recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, echoing the post-Abraham Accords freeze since 2020. Riyadh and others condition progress on Palestinian statehood advancements, with trader consensus skeptical of breakthroughs by June 30 absent major concessions or summits.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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