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テクノロジー·ビッグテック

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

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テクノロジー·ビッグテック

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Google 55%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$76,092 Vol.

Google 55%

Anthropic 37%

OpenAI 3.1%

xAI 2.1%

Polymarket

$76,092 Vol.

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Google

$11,366 Vol.

55%

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Anthropic

$6,660 Vol.

37%

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OpenAI

$2,838 Vol.

3%

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xAI

$2,811 Vol.

2%

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Mistral

$2,566 Vol.

2%

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DeepSeek

$2,517 Vol.

1%

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Baidu

$2,415 Vol.

1%

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Z.ai

$16,874 Vol.

1%

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ByteDance

$6,023 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$2,518 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$2,321 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$14,434 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$2,751 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Google a 55% implied probability of having the third-best AI model by end-April 2026, with Anthropic close at 36.5%, reflecting the tight race behind current LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaders: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 atop overall and coding benchmarks, Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro dominating GPQA reasoning and multimodal tasks at #2, and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trailing at #3. March's flurry of releases—including GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Grok 4.20—failed to unseat the top duo, but traders anticipate April upgrades from OpenAI, xAI, or Chinese labs like DeepSeek could elevate challengers, potentially reshuffling Google or Anthropic into third. Watch for pre-resolution announcements at developer conferences or benchmark updates in the next 30 days.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Which company has the third best AI model end of April?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Google」で55%、次いで「Anthropic」が37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which company has the third best AI model end of April?」は$76.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which company has the third best AI model end of April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which company has the third best AI model end of April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Google」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Anthropic」で37%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which company has the third best AI model end of April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。