Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting entrenched diplomatic stalemate amid unresolved disputes over occupied territories like Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, coupled with Russia's military escalation following Ukraine's recent truce offers, including strikes reported April 1. Zelenskyy's meeting with Erdogan on April 4 signaled readiness for direct talks "in any format," boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as Ankara pushes its Istanbul venue for the tenth time, yet Putin has rejected personal engagement since 2019 and demands Ukrainian concessions like troop withdrawals. US-brokered indirect negotiations in Geneva (February) and Abu Dhabi stalled without leader summits, while upcoming US envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim potential for de-escalation amid active frontline fighting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年以前に会談なし 81%
トルコ 2.6%
米国 2.2%
カタール / UAE 1.8%
$1,893,353 Vol.
$1,893,353 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
81%

トルコ
3%

米国
2%

カタール / UAE
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

ロシア
1%

スイス
1%

ベラルーシ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

ウクライナ
1%

カザフスタン
1%
2027年以前に会談なし 81%
トルコ 2.6%
米国 2.2%
カタール / UAE 1.8%
$1,893,353 Vol.
$1,893,353 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
81%

トルコ
3%

米国
2%

カタール / UAE
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ハンガリー
2%

ロシア
1%

スイス
1%

ベラルーシ
1%

中国
1%

インド
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

ウクライナ
1%

カザフスタン
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting entrenched diplomatic stalemate amid unresolved disputes over occupied territories like Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, coupled with Russia's military escalation following Ukraine's recent truce offers, including strikes reported April 1. Zelenskyy's meeting with Erdogan on April 4 signaled readiness for direct talks "in any format," boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as Ankara pushes its Istanbul venue for the tenth time, yet Putin has rejected personal engagement since 2019 and demands Ukrainian concessions like troop withdrawals. US-brokered indirect negotiations in Geneva (February) and Abu Dhabi stalled without leader summits, while upcoming US envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim potential for de-escalation amid active frontline fighting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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