Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 75.5% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 5, driven by persistent severe weather forecasts overlapping peak spring break travel. FAA's April 3 air traffic report highlights low clouds impacting high-volume Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia, and Washington-area airports, alongside thunderstorms at Orlando, Tampa, Indianapolis, and Memphis, snow in Salt Lake City, and high winds at Las Vegas—conditions mirroring recent days' disruptions with thousands canceled. Ongoing storm systems and crowded skies amplify risks, as airlines preemptively axe flights amid FAA ground stop precedents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/04/05
新規
新規
2026/04/05
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 75.5% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 5, driven by persistent severe weather forecasts overlapping peak spring break travel. FAA's April 3 air traffic report highlights low clouds impacting high-volume Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia, and Washington-area airports, alongside thunderstorms at Orlando, Tampa, Indianapolis, and Memphis, snow in Salt Lake City, and high winds at Las Vegas—conditions mirroring recent days' disruptions with thousands canceled. Ongoing storm systems and crowded skies amplify risks, as airlines preemptively axe flights amid FAA ground stop precedents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
音量
$109終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 75.5% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 5, driven by persistent severe weather forecasts overlapping peak spring break travel. FAA's April 3 air traffic report highlights low clouds impacting high-volume Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia, and Washington-area airports, alongside thunderstorms at Orlando, Tampa, Indianapolis, and Memphis, snow in Salt Lake City, and high winds at Las Vegas—conditions mirroring recent days' disruptions with thousands canceled. Ongoing storm systems and crowded skies amplify risks, as airlines preemptively axe flights amid FAA ground stop precedents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
音量
$139終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:26 PM ETTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 75.5% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 5, driven by persistent severe weather forecasts overlapping peak spring break travel. FAA's April 3 air traffic report highlights low clouds impacting high-volume Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia, and Washington-area airports, alongside thunderstorms at Orlando, Tampa, Indianapolis, and Memphis, snow in Salt Lake City, and high winds at Las Vegas—conditions mirroring recent days' disruptions with thousands canceled. Ongoing storm systems and crowded skies amplify risks, as airlines preemptively axe flights amid FAA ground stop precedents.
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