Preliminary FlightAware data reports around 5,500-5,900 U.S. flight delays on April 4 amid severe thunderstorms battering major hubs like Chicago O'Hare during Easter weekend peak travel, alongside low clouds prompting ground delay programs at East Coast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia. Trader consensus narrowly favors 6,000-6,500 (53%) over 5,500-6,000 (47%), reflecting expectations that FAA OPSNET's official tally—counting arrival delays of 15+ minutes—will capture ripple effects from weather holds, staffing constraints, and high-volume holiday operations not fully in preliminary figures. The tight race hinges on data reconciliation discrepancies between trackers; FAA's daily summary release or late airport updates could separate outcomes by confirming higher carrier-reported totals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6,500-7,000 62%
>7,000 11%
5,000-5,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$9,012 Vol.
$9,012 Vol.
2026/04/04
<4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
1%
5,000-5,500
1%
5,500-6,000
44%
6,000-6,500
59%
6,500-7,000
62%
>7,000
11%
6,500-7,000 62%
>7,000 11%
5,000-5,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$9,012 Vol.
$9,012 Vol.
2026/04/04
<4,000
$1,855 Vol.
<1%
4,000-4,500
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
4,500-5,000
$3,504 Vol.
1%
5,000-5,500
$1,201 Vol.
1%
5,500-6,000
$515 Vol.
44%
6,000-6,500
$81 Vol.
59%
6,500-7,000
$67 Vol.
62%
>7,000
$75 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data reports around 5,500-5,900 U.S. flight delays on April 4 amid severe thunderstorms battering major hubs like Chicago O'Hare during Easter weekend peak travel, alongside low clouds prompting ground delay programs at East Coast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia. Trader consensus narrowly favors 6,000-6,500 (53%) over 5,500-6,000 (47%), reflecting expectations that FAA OPSNET's official tally—counting arrival delays of 15+ minutes—will capture ripple effects from weather holds, staffing constraints, and high-volume holiday operations not fully in preliminary figures. The tight race hinges on data reconciliation discrepancies between trackers; FAA's daily summary release or late airport updates could separate outcomes by confirming higher carrier-reported totals.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
音量
$9,012終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data reports around 5,500-5,900 U.S. flight delays on April 4 amid severe thunderstorms battering major hubs like Chicago O'Hare during Easter weekend peak travel, alongside low clouds prompting ground delay programs at East Coast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia. Trader consensus narrowly favors 6,000-6,500 (53%) over 5,500-6,000 (47%), reflecting expectations that FAA OPSNET's official tally—counting arrival delays of 15+ minutes—will capture ripple effects from weather holds, staffing constraints, and high-volume holiday operations not fully in preliminary figures. The tight race hinges on data reconciliation discrepancies between trackers; FAA's daily summary release or late airport updates could separate outcomes by confirming higher carrier-reported totals.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$9,012終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETPreliminary FlightAware data reports around 5,500-5,900 U.S. flight delays on April 4 amid severe thunderstorms battering major hubs like Chicago O'Hare during Easter weekend peak travel, alongside low clouds prompting ground delay programs at East Coast airports including Boston, New York, and Philadelphia. Trader consensus narrowly favors 6,000-6,500 (53%) over 5,500-6,000 (47%), reflecting expectations that FAA OPSNET's official tally—counting arrival delays of 15+ minutes—will capture ripple effects from weather holds, staffing constraints, and high-volume holiday operations not fully in preliminary figures. The tight race hinges on data reconciliation discrepancies between trackers; FAA's daily summary release or late airport updates could separate outcomes by confirming higher carrier-reported totals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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