Skip to main content
icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？

Ended: 4月 14

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

Ended: 4月 14

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

280～299 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,414,520 Vol.

280～299 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$14,414,520 Vol.

20未満

$132,946 Vol.

いいえ

20〜39

$29,555 Vol.

いいえ

40～59

$28,763 Vol.

いいえ

60〜79

$39,328 Vol.

いいえ

80〜99

$131,329 Vol.

いいえ

100〜119

$79,948 Vol.

いいえ

120〜139

$122,045 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$190,544 Vol.

いいえ

160〜179

$370,956 Vol.

いいえ

180～199

$495,720 Vol.

いいえ

200〜219

$546,411 Vol.

いいえ

220～239

$547,326 Vol.

いいえ

240～259

$613,997 Vol.

いいえ

260〜279

$1,031,883 Vol.

いいえ

280～299

$1,984,527 Vol.

はい

300〜319

$1,110,020 Vol.

いいえ

320～339

$1,260,375 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$797,610 Vol.

いいえ

360〜379

$741,255 Vol.

いいえ

380〜399

$807,327 Vol.

いいえ

400～419

$715,741 Vol.

いいえ

420〜439

$503,596 Vol.

いいえ

440〜459

$604,228 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$330,779 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$423,073 Vol.

いいえ

500〜519

$144,317 Vol.

いいえ

520～539

$114,244 Vol.

いいえ

540～559

$140,060 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$134,686 Vol.

いいえ

580以上

$241,930 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$14,414,520
終了日
2026/04/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$14,414,520
終了日
2026/04/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「280～299」で100%、次いで「20未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？」は$14.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「280～299」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月7日〜4月14日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。