Trader consensus prices Elon Musk's X posts from April 7-14 in a fragmented field, with 280-299 (14.5%), 260-279 (13.5%), and 240-259 (12.5%) leading amid high uncertainty from his volatile posting habits. Recent swings—73 posts on April 3 fueled by political viral moments, dropping to 9 on April 4 and sparse activity April 5 during weekend lull—yield a ~34/day average over the past week, mirroring historical 30-40 daily norms but highlighting event-driven spikes. Key differentiators include potential Tesla or xAI announcements, SpaceX launches, or election buzz accelerating toward 300+; quiet periods without cultural catalysts could drag below 240, keeping the race wide open as the period nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日280～299 15%
260〜279 14%
240～259 13%
300〜319 12%
新規
$514,357 Vol.
新規
$514,357 Vol.
2026/04/14
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40～59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160〜179
1%
180～199
2%
200〜219
4%
220～239
9%
240～259
13%
260〜279
14%
280～299
15%
300〜319
12%
320～339
11%
340〜359
9%
360〜379
7%
380〜399
5%
400～419
2%
420〜439
2%
440〜459
1%
460〜479
1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
1%
520～539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560〜579
<1%
580以上
<1%
280～299 15%
260〜279 14%
240～259 13%
300〜319 12%
新規
$514,357 Vol.
新規
$514,357 Vol.
2026/04/14
20未満
$94,796 Vol.
<1%
20〜39
$25,490 Vol.
<1%
40～59
$21,112 Vol.
<1%
60〜79
$19,937 Vol.
<1%
80〜99
$39,919 Vol.
<1%
100〜119
$18,252 Vol.
<1%
120〜139
$23,880 Vol.
<1%
140〜159
$15,734 Vol.
<1%
160〜179
$12,607 Vol.
1%
180～199
$15,032 Vol.
2%
200〜219
$8,397 Vol.
4%
220～239
$8,755 Vol.
9%
240～259
$14,417 Vol.
13%
260〜279
$17,470 Vol.
14%
280～299
$20,829 Vol.
15%
300〜319
$7,614 Vol.
12%
320～339
$5,994 Vol.
11%
340〜359
$4,265 Vol.
9%
360〜379
$5,030 Vol.
7%
380〜399
$5,210 Vol.
5%
400～419
$6,230 Vol.
2%
420〜439
$7,451 Vol.
2%
440〜459
$6,828 Vol.
1%
460〜479
$8,112 Vol.
1%
480〜499
$13,046 Vol.
<1%
500〜519
$12,407 Vol.
1%
520～539
$13,517 Vol.
<1%
540～559
$16,227 Vol.
<1%
560〜579
$14,290 Vol.
<1%
580以上
$31,854 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices Elon Musk's X posts from April 7-14 in a fragmented field, with 280-299 (14.5%), 260-279 (13.5%), and 240-259 (12.5%) leading amid high uncertainty from his volatile posting habits. Recent swings—73 posts on April 3 fueled by political viral moments, dropping to 9 on April 4 and sparse activity April 5 during weekend lull—yield a ~34/day average over the past week, mirroring historical 30-40 daily norms but highlighting event-driven spikes. Key differentiators include potential Tesla or xAI announcements, SpaceX launches, or election buzz accelerating toward 300+; quiet periods without cultural catalysts could drag below 240, keeping the race wide open as the period nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$514,357終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices Elon Musk's X posts from April 7-14 in a fragmented field, with 280-299 (14.5%), 260-279 (13.5%), and 240-259 (12.5%) leading amid high uncertainty from his volatile posting habits. Recent swings—73 posts on April 3 fueled by political viral moments, dropping to 9 on April 4 and sparse activity April 5 during weekend lull—yield a ~34/day average over the past week, mirroring historical 30-40 daily norms but highlighting event-driven spikes. Key differentiators include potential Tesla or xAI announcements, SpaceX launches, or election buzz accelerating toward 300+; quiet periods without cultural catalysts could drag below 240, keeping the race wide open as the period nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$514,357終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Elon Musk's X posts from April 7-14 in a fragmented field, with 280-299 (14.5%), 260-279 (13.5%), and 240-259 (12.5%) leading amid high uncertainty from his volatile posting habits. Recent swings—73 posts on April 3 fueled by political viral moments, dropping to 9 on April 4 and sparse activity April 5 during weekend lull—yield a ~34/day average over the past week, mirroring historical 30-40 daily norms but highlighting event-driven spikes. Key differentiators include potential Tesla or xAI announcements, SpaceX launches, or election buzz accelerating toward 300+; quiet periods without cultural catalysts could drag below 240, keeping the race wide open as the period nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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