Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein's legal cases have driven strong trader consensus around limited additional prison time. The May 15 mistrial in his third New York rape retrial—stemming from a deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann allegations—heightened uncertainty after two prior proceedings produced mixed results, including a hung jury and one conviction on a related charge. Weinstein, now 74 and in declining health, continues serving his 16-year California sentence while appealing that 2022 verdict and facing potential sentencing on the New York count. Ongoing appeals, consecutive sentencing questions, and the high bar for further convictions in a #MeToo-era case amid evolving judicial scrutiny have positioned no additional prison time as the market's clear frontrunner at 75.9% implied probability. Upcoming appeal rulings and any retrial decisions remain key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？
ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？
実刑なし 75.9%
20〜30年 9.2%
10〜20年 6.5%
5年未満 3.9%
$1,055,290 Vol.
$1,055,290 Vol.
2025/12/31
実刑なし
76%
5年未満
4%
5～10年
4%
10〜20年
6%
20〜30年
9%
30年以上
2%
実刑なし 75.9%
20〜30年 9.2%
10〜20年 6.5%
5年未満 3.9%
$1,055,290 Vol.
$1,055,290 Vol.
2025/12/31
実刑なし
$368,846 Vol.
76%
5年未満
$138,666 Vol.
4%
5～10年
$88,107 Vol.
4%
10〜20年
$167,393 Vol.
6%
20〜30年
$210,639 Vol.
9%
30年以上
$81,639 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein's legal cases have driven strong trader consensus around limited additional prison time. The May 15 mistrial in his third New York rape retrial—stemming from a deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann allegations—heightened uncertainty after two prior proceedings produced mixed results, including a hung jury and one conviction on a related charge. Weinstein, now 74 and in declining health, continues serving his 16-year California sentence while appealing that 2022 verdict and facing potential sentencing on the New York count. Ongoing appeals, consecutive sentencing questions, and the high bar for further convictions in a #MeToo-era case amid evolving judicial scrutiny have positioned no additional prison time as the market's clear frontrunner at 75.9% implied probability. Upcoming appeal rulings and any retrial decisions remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
音量
$1,055,290終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein's legal cases have driven strong trader consensus around limited additional prison time. The May 15 mistrial in his third New York rape retrial—stemming from a deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann allegations—heightened uncertainty after two prior proceedings produced mixed results, including a hung jury and one conviction on a related charge. Weinstein, now 74 and in declining health, continues serving his 16-year California sentence while appealing that 2022 verdict and facing potential sentencing on the New York count. Ongoing appeals, consecutive sentencing questions, and the high bar for further convictions in a #MeToo-era case amid evolving judicial scrutiny have positioned no additional prison time as the market's clear frontrunner at 75.9% implied probability. Upcoming appeal rulings and any retrial decisions remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,055,290終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein's legal cases have driven strong trader consensus around limited additional prison time. The May 15 mistrial in his third New York rape retrial—stemming from a deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann allegations—heightened uncertainty after two prior proceedings produced mixed results, including a hung jury and one conviction on a related charge. Weinstein, now 74 and in declining health, continues serving his 16-year California sentence while appealing that 2022 verdict and facing potential sentencing on the New York count. Ongoing appeals, consecutive sentencing questions, and the high bar for further convictions in a #MeToo-era case amid evolving judicial scrutiny have positioned no additional prison time as the market's clear frontrunner at 75.9% implied probability. Upcoming appeal rulings and any retrial decisions remain key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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