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icon for ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？

ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？

icon for ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？

ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？

20〜30年 33.4%

実刑なし 27.9%

30年以上 13.1%

10〜20年 11.5%

Polymarket

$913,181 Vol.

20〜30年 33.4%

実刑なし 27.9%

30年以上 13.1%

10〜20年 11.5%

Polymarket

$913,181 Vol.

実刑なし

$328,126 Vol.

28%

5年未満

$119,163 Vol.

7%

5～10年

$69,362 Vol.

4%

10〜20年

$147,056 Vol.

12%

20〜30年

$185,673 Vol.

33%

30年以上

$63,801 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects high uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial against Jessica Mann, with testimony wrapping last week and a verdict expected by mid-May; the closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33% implied probability slightly ahead of no prison time at 28%—hinge on this outcome alongside pending sentencing for his 2025 Miriam Haley sexual assault conviction (up to 25 years) and a skeptical April appellate hearing on his 16-year California rape sentence. Recent defense cross-examinations highlighted accuser inconsistencies, bolstering appeal prospects following the 2024 New York conviction overturn, while Weinstein's age-74 health crises, including cancer, fuel bets on potential reductions or release. Key swings: trial result, Haley sentencing date, and dual appeals.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$913,181
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects high uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial against Jessica Mann, with testimony wrapping last week and a verdict expected by mid-May; the closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33% implied probability slightly ahead of no prison time at 28%—hinge on this outcome alongside pending sentencing for his 2025 Miriam Haley sexual assault conviction (up to 25 years) and a skeptical April appellate hearing on his 16-year California rape sentence. Recent defense cross-examinations highlighted accuser inconsistencies, bolstering appeal prospects following the 2024 New York conviction overturn, while Weinstein's age-74 health crises, including cancer, fuel bets on potential reductions or release. Key swings: trial result, Haley sentencing date, and dual appeals.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$913,181
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20〜30年」で33%、次いで「実刑なし」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？」は$913.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？」の現在のフロントランナーは「20〜30年」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「実刑なし」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。